NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	7.0 [526]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): +27.0%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	3.3 [570]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -27.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.01	29	57%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	27	43%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	0.01	6	117%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.14	0.04	30	61%	0.31	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	73%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.11	0.01	15	29%	-0.19	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	29.2	16.4	30.5	3.5	30.6	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +49.7%

DEN +8.3%

PHX -3.8%

PHX -4.7%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.4	93.5	104.3	113.4
season	14.5	14.7		114.2	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	16.1	14.9	17.1	15.5
DEN	15.5	14.6	16.4	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	48	50	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-18	26	14.8	16.2	-1.41	16.3	14.7	1.61
Bismack Biyombo	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-9	8	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.9	15.7	-0.71
Josh Okogie	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-10	10	15.2	15.7	-0.54	16.2	14.9	1.25
Ish Wainright	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-4	-2	16.4	15.4	1.00	13.8	15.6	-1.81
Deandre Ayton	63	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-10	10	15.0	16.4	-1.35	16.2	13.9	2.35
Jock Landale	11	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	19.9	14.9	5.06	11.9	16.0	-4.05
Torrey Craig	21	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	18.2	14.6	3.60	14.2	15.9	-1.65
Damion Lee	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-5	0	15.8	15.1	0.64	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Kevin Durant	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-6	2	15.1	19.5	-4.43	15.6	14.0	1.64
Devin Booker	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	15.2	18.0	-2.76	15.8	11.7	4.11
Cameron Payne	35	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	6	-22	15.9	15.2	0.79	13.9	16.4	-2.50

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-4	18	15.9	13.8	2.09	15.4	15.5	-0.02
Christian Braun	30	29	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-5	20	13.8	16.3	-2.48	17.6	14.5	3.10
Bruce Brown	48	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	14.9	16.2	-1.32	15.6	15.3	0.29
Aaron Gordon	77	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-1	12	15.8	14.2	1.53	15.0	17.2	-2.13
Nikola Jokic	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	8	-6	15.9	13.2	2.66	14.8	19.3	-4.48
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	81	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	15.8	13.9	1.85	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Jeff Green	29	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	3	4	13.8	16.3	-2.50	18.1	14.1	3.92
Michael Porter Jr.	46	48	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	22	-34	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.4	16.6	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 111, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	93.5%
ORL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.9,1,1,1,1	93.2%
NOP 82, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.9%