NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	111		Excitement	8.2 [220]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): +32.9%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	2.7 [454]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -24.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.01	23	64%	0.44	8	-0.28	12	83%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.09	0.04	16	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Andrew Wiggins	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.10	4	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	10	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.17	0.04	8	81%	0.35	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.04
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	16	63%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	15	45%	0.19	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	10	45%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.08	0.02	11	43%	-0.03	7	-0.21	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	31.5	15.5	30.2	0.8	47.2	152.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -0.2%

ATL +27.3%

ATL +19.6%

ATL +3.2%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	13.6	14.4	104.7	108.3	111.3
season	13.5	14.7		109.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.3	14.0	12.8	14.1	13.3
ATL	15.4	12.6	13.4	13.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Wiseman	40	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-9	12	12.0	14.0	-2.00	14.7	13.0	1.75
Stephen Curry	83	86	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-14	22	12.3	17.0	-4.79	13.6	13.8	-0.25
Draymond Green	83	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-15	24	12.1	17.7	-5.57	13.7	13.4	0.32
Andrew Wiggins	80	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-9	12	12.2	16.5	-4.25	14.2	11.9	2.24
Kevon Looney	33	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	2	-10	15.8	12.2	3.67	12.7	14.1	-1.38
Kent Bazemore	36	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	4	-14	14.7	12.6	2.08	13.3	13.8	-0.46
Jordan Poole	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	1	-8	15.6	12.2	3.40	12.9	13.9	-0.98
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	13.4	13.0	0.38	13.7	13.5	0.21
Juan Toscano-Anderson	13	12	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	5	-16	16.3	12.9	3.44	11.7	13.9	-2.20
Damion Lee	48	51	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	7	-20	14.6	12.2	2.40	13.5	13.7	-0.17

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	58	57	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.32	19	-13	32	12.9	14.4	-1.45	14.6	11.8	2.78
Danilo Gallinari	61	60	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-6	18	13.7	13.5	0.23	14.6	11.6	2.97
Tony Snell	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	0	6	13.1	14.4	-1.37	14.5	11.6	2.95
Clint Capela	76	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.38	-3	9	-12	13.7	13.5	0.13	12.2	15.8	-3.67
Onyeka Okongwu	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	0	6	13.5	13.7	-0.13	16.0	12.2	3.87
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	76	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	9	-12	13.7	13.4	0.33	12.2	15.9	-3.68
Kevin Huerter	61	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-1	8	14.4	12.6	1.89	13.7	12.8	0.91
Solomon Hill	47	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	12	-18	13.5	13.7	-0.23	11.6	14.6	-2.97
Trae Young	64	66	-0.34	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.2	0.66	11.8	15.7	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 85, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
IND 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,1	92.7%
IND 89, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.91,1	92.7%