NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	7.7 [329]		MVP	James Johnson (MIA): +13.5%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	2.6 [413]		LVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): -22.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	22	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Myles Turner	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	13	41%	-0.11	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	13	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	16	60%	0.13	3	-0.08	11	55%	-0.06
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.01	15	32%	-0.07	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.8	29.8	15.7	27.3	2.8	34.2	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +52.9%

IND -14.7%

MIA +24.2%

IND -7.5%

IND -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.6	14.8	92.7	101.1	107.7
season	14.9	15.4		107.5	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.8		105.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	13.8	16.7	16.0	14.8
MIA	13.8	16.9	16.0	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	51	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.7	-1.77	14.8	16.5	-1.74
Rodney Stuckey	46	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.31	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Jeff Teague	56	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-11	16	14.2	15.5	-1.33	16.2	14.6	1.57
Al Jefferson	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.8	14.7	0.09	11.9	16.8	-4.85
Paul George	77	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-9	12	14.7	14.9	-0.18	16.5	12.1	4.41
Myles Turner	74	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.34	2	-8	10	14.7	14.8	-0.09	16.8	11.9	4.85
Thaddeus Young	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	14.9	14.1	0.76	16.1	13.5	2.63
CJ Miles	43	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	6	-18	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.0	17.0	-2.96
Aaron Brooks	35	32	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	6	-18	15.6	14.2	1.38	15.2	15.8	-0.63

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	50	51	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.33	15	-9	24	14.7	16.6	-1.95	14.8	14.7	0.12
Josh Richardson	60	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-7	20	14.8	16.9	-2.10	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Tyler Johnson	64	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	15.1	16.6	-1.56	15.0	14.3	0.68
Justise Winslow	40	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-2	10	15.7	15.5	0.17	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Hassan Whiteside	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	6	-6	15.4	15.9	-0.45	15.1	14.0	1.04
Wayne Ellington	40	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	5	-4	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.1	14.5	0.57
Willie Reed	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.5	15.6	-0.13	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Goran Dragic	67	68	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	10	-14	16.0	14.6	1.33	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Rodney McGruder	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	13	-20	16.9	14.8	2.10	14.9	14.7	0.24
Josh McRoberts	34	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	15	-24	16.7	14.9	1.77	14.5	14.9	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	94.2%
NJN 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1	93.0%
MIN 94, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%