inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 92 Excitement7.3 [382] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +27.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 102 Comeback1.9 [755] LVPVince Carter (NJN): -14.2%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.040.021173%0.202-0.05887%0.03
Bostjan Nachbar0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.000.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.04-0.01871%0.102-0.06560%-0.01
Jason Collins0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.001100%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.020,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01985%0.258-0.27250%-0.01
Marcus Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Boone-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00137%-0.0500.00617%-0.13
Vince Carter-0.140,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.040.072646%-0.053-0.104100%0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.270.270.140.160.032459%0.312-0.041369%-0.02
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.001143%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.001357%0.113-0.12450%-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03857%0.011-0.03771%-0.03
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00337%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.03-0.001435%-0.021-0.02650%-0.01
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.00333%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.43.632.419.430.33.740.2158.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN -4.2%
NJN -7.7%
CLE +34.9%
CLE +23.7%
CLE +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNCLENBANJNCLENBA
this game15.217.615.4104.5115.9104.5
season15.416.0103.1103.2
opponent15.615.799.6103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN17.614.113.815.415.2
CLE16.019.516.918.017.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clifford Robinson98-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-9818.814.84.0212.418.1-5.70
Antoine Wright1111-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-5015.115.2-0.0916.917.6-0.74
Marcus Williams89-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-6219.514.74.7614.917.9-2.97
Josh Boone2424-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-5014.015.6-1.5516.118.1-2.03
Richard Jefferson7878-0.24-0.260.01-0.18-2-8614.818.4-3.6417.716.61.08
Jason Collins5355-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-121415.714.31.4218.316.32.01
Jason Kidd7574-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.23-4-6215.016.2-1.1517.915.82.11
Bostjan Nachbar3132-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-111-1214.615.5-0.9116.318.2-1.91
Mikki Moore7171-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-2-615.115.4-0.2318.214.93.31
Vince Carter8078-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.14-122-1415.115.5-0.3617.915.02.88

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James86850.450.050.400.2282617.425.5-8.1315.117.0-1.89
Larry Hughes74750.360.140.220.2155017.517.9-0.4414.916.7-1.79
Sasha Pavlovic67660.330.170.170.1664217.318.3-1.0215.314.60.71
Zydrunas Ilgauskas57580.330.170.160.1855018.116.61.4616.113.42.64
Anderson Varejao34340.300.200.100.0491817.317.7-0.4813.516.2-2.72
Daniel Gibson16160.290.210.07-0.011001018.917.31.6116.314.91.40
Drew Gooden65650.260.240.020.1737-417.517.7-0.2515.414.41.00
Donyell Marshall19170.160.34-0.190.0737-417.617.60.0315.615.10.59
Eric Snow24260.020.48-0.450.02010-1017.317.7-0.3613.316.0-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,193.7%
UTA 97, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,193.3%
DET 83, MEM 1000.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.89,1,1,1,193.1%