NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	7.3 [382]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +27.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.9 [755]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -14.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	11	73%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	85%	0.25	8	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.13
Vince Carter	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	0.07	26	46%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.16	0.03	24	59%	0.31	2	-0.04	13	69%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	11	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.11	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	14	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.6	32.4	19.4	30.3	3.7	40.2	158.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -4.2%

NJN -7.7%

CLE +34.9%

CLE +23.7%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	17.6	15.4	104.5	115.9	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	14.1	13.8	15.4	15.2
CLE	16.0	19.5	16.9	18.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	18.8	14.8	4.02	12.4	18.1	-5.70
Antoine Wright	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-5	0	15.1	15.2	-0.09	16.9	17.6	-0.74
Marcus Williams	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	19.5	14.7	4.76	14.9	17.9	-2.97
Josh Boone	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	14.0	15.6	-1.55	16.1	18.1	-2.03
Richard Jefferson	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-8	6	14.8	18.4	-3.64	17.7	16.6	1.08
Jason Collins	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-12	14	15.7	14.3	1.42	18.3	16.3	2.01
Jason Kidd	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.0	16.2	-1.15	17.9	15.8	2.11
Bostjan Nachbar	31	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	14.6	15.5	-0.91	16.3	18.2	-1.91
Mikki Moore	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.1	15.4	-0.23	18.2	14.9	3.31
Vince Carter	80	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	2	-14	15.1	15.5	-0.36	17.9	15.0	2.88

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	86	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	17.4	25.5	-8.13	15.1	17.0	-1.89
Larry Hughes	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	5	0	17.5	17.9	-0.44	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Sasha Pavlovic	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	17.3	18.3	-1.02	15.3	14.6	0.71
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	18.1	16.6	1.46	16.1	13.4	2.64
Anderson Varejao	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	1	8	17.3	17.7	-0.48	13.5	16.2	-2.72
Daniel Gibson	16	16	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	0	10	18.9	17.3	1.61	16.3	14.9	1.40
Drew Gooden	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	7	-4	17.5	17.7	-0.25	15.4	14.4	1.00
Donyell Marshall	19	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	17.6	17.6	0.03	15.6	15.1	0.59
Eric Snow	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	10	-10	17.3	17.7	-0.36	13.3	16.0	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%
DET 83, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.89,1,1,1,1	93.1%