NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	6.9 [449]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +7.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.7 [590]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): -19.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.03	0.05	17	63%	0.04	1	-0.01	15	60%	-0.07
Howard Eisley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	8	59%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Armen Gilliam	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	0.03	-0.11	0.10	12	64%	-0.07	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	14	43%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.15	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	8	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	25.2	15.4	27.5	2.4	40.2	137.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +41.1%

UTA -8.8%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +15.0%

PHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.2	103.2	106.5	101.7
season	16.3	15.0		104.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		98.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	15.7	13.2	16.9	16.0
PHI	13.6	14.3	15.6	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	42	42	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-8	14	15.6	16.3	-0.70	15.4	14.4	0.95
Howard Eisley	39	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-5	8	16.1	15.9	0.16	14.0	15.5	-1.43
Jacque Vaughn	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	16.9	15.6	1.25	13.4	15.4	-2.07
Armen Gilliam	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-3	4	17.7	15.3	2.40	13.6	15.3	-1.64
Adam Keefe	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	14.1	16.2	-2.08	11.9	15.2	-3.29
Quincy Lewis	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	4	-10	17.8	15.7	2.10	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Bryon Russell	71	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-8	14	15.9	16.2	-0.29	15.4	13.3	2.10
John Stockton	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-3	4	15.6	16.9	-1.25	15.4	13.4	2.07
Karl Malone	73	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	15.1	19.0	-3.98	15.4	12.8	2.53
Jeff Hornacek	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	15.9	16.1	-0.16	15.2	14.4	0.78
Greg Ostertag	48	46	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	12	-26	16.7	15.2	1.58	14.5	15.2	-0.76

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	38	38	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	13.9	15.5	-1.55	16.8	15.4	1.35
Toni Kukoc	58	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-5	12	15.1	14.3	0.80	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Allen Iverson	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-3	8	15.3	12.6	2.75	15.6	17.7	-2.08
Theo Ratliff	48	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	2	-2	15.2	14.4	0.76	18.2	13.7	4.51
Matt Geiger	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	14.8	14.8	-0.00	15.0	16.8	-1.84
Tyrone Hill	67	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	1	0	15.1	14.1	1.06	15.7	16.5	-0.80
George Lynch	62	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	8	-14	14.2	16.1	-1.94	16.0	15.8	0.21
Kevin Ollie	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	14.8	-14.84	0.0	16.1	-16.13
Eric Snow	73	72	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.29	-13	15	-28	14.6	15.7	-1.16	16.0	15.8	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIN 103, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
NJN 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1	93.3%