NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	6.5 [396]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +23.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	2.2 [632]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -22.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Russell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.03	10	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	16	39%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	12	47%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Rodney Stuckey	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.01	22	38%	-0.11	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	9	71%	0.28	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.12	0.04	5	92%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	12	58%	0.00	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.5	31.3	16.5	28.5	2.3	32.6	143.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +55.4%

MEM +2.3%

DET -28.2%

MEM +21.6%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.6	91.2	109.9	102.8
season	16.3	15.6		99.5	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	14.6	19.3	18.2	16.6
MEM	13.8	14.2	14.1	18.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	42	42	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.01	10	-27	37	16.3	16.8	-0.50	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Vernon Macklin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	7.5	16.8	-9.31	19.0	14.9	4.09
Walker Russell	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	7.5	16.8	-9.31	19.0	14.9	4.09
Austin Daye	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	7.5	16.8	-9.31	19.0	14.9	4.09
Greg Monroe	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-11	5	17.8	13.7	4.02	15.1	14.9	0.17
Tayshaun Prince	71	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-9	1	16.9	15.5	1.35	15.7	13.1	2.52
Ben Gordon	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	15.9	16.9	-1.08	15.1	15.0	0.04
Damien Wilkins	27	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-7	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.23	13.8	15.6	-1.89
Ben Wallace	22	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-7	-3	14.2	17.4	-3.14	14.4	15.2	-0.86
Brandon Knight	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-3	-11	17.0	14.4	2.59	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Rodney Stuckey	72	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-5	-7	17.0	15.3	1.70	15.4	13.9	1.54
Jonas Jerebko	44	43	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.20	-16	-1	-15	16.9	16.3	0.55	14.2	15.8	-1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	72	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-4	25	15.0	15.3	-0.34	17.0	15.1	1.86
O.J. Mayo	53	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-3	23	15.6	14.2	1.43	17.0	16.1	0.81
Quincy Pondexter	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-2	21	15.8	14.0	1.78	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Rudy Gay	55	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	3	11	16.1	13.4	2.65	17.2	15.6	1.58
Marc Gasol	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	8	1	15.3	14.4	0.94	16.5	17.0	-0.49
Dante Cunningham	44	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	11	-5	14.1	15.9	-1.80	17.2	16.1	1.06
Hamed Haddadi	10	9	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	15	-13	13.6	15.2	-1.62	21.7	16.0	5.62
Marreese Speights	42	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	18	-19	14.2	15.8	-1.59	14.6	18.6	-3.97
Tony Allen	61	61	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	22	-27	14.2	16.7	-2.47	16.4	17.1	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.89,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1	93.1%
ORL 109, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%
PHX 99, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%