NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.4 [507]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +27.4%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	2.2 [832]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -19.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	-0.01	0.01	12	96%	0.28	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	16	74%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	12	36%	-0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.12	0.02	17	77%	0.33	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	9	71%	0.28	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.09
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	30.6	15.5	27.5	1.7	28.0	126.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +10.0%

SAS +20.1%

PHX -13.1%

SAS +34.2%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.4	104.2	112.5	104.1
season	15.2	15.2		99.7	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	14.0	14.2	15.4	14.6
SAS	16.6	14.8	15.1	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	73	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-11	13	14.5	14.9	-0.44	15.6	15.4	0.25
Shannon Brown	27	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.7	14.5	0.19	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Marcin Gortat	58	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.1	14.8	1.31
Goran Dragic	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-7	5	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.9	14.8	1.09
Michael Beasley	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	14.2	14.9	-0.64	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Jared Dudley	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-9	9	14.8	14.0	0.79	15.9	14.8	1.13
Markieff Morris	41	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Sebastian Telfair	30	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	2	-13	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Luis Scola	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	2	-13	15.0	13.6	1.46	15.8	15.2	0.58

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	55	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-5	19	15.1	16.3	-1.20	14.8	14.3	0.49
Tony Parker	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	3	3	16.2	14.4	1.77	14.8	14.1	0.64
Tiago Splitter	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	16.2	14.7	1.49	14.6	14.5	0.13
Kawhi Leonard	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	16.3	14.5	1.81	14.9	14.1	0.82
Boris Diaw	49	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	16.4	14.8	1.60	14.8	14.2	0.61
Matt Bonner	44	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	3	3	14.6	16.4	-1.79	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Manu Ginobili	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	0	9	14.6	16.4	-1.81	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Gary Neal	28	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	3	3	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.1	14.7	-0.62
DeJuan Blair	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	4	1	14.7	16.2	-1.49	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Patty Mills	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	10	-11	12.6	15.9	-3.33	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Danny Green	33	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.13	-11	20	-31	16.8	15.0	1.84	14.4	14.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%
SAC 83, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1	92.7%