inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement6.0 [573] MVPTim Thomas (MIL): +15.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 96 Comeback2.5 [491] LVPClifford Robinson (DET): -21.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.080,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.040.01971%0.142-0.066100%0.03
Jon Barry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.050.041474%0.144-0.1710100%0.04
Corliss Williamson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Michael Curry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.001545%-0.0400.00333%-0.04
Ben Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01237%-0.0500.00425%-0.04
Chucky Atkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.08-0.091432%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.210,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.060.021529%-0.211-0.00425%-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.04-0.041078%0.183-0.03786%0.01
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.09-0.011155%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.06-0.00650%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001052%0.031-0.02367%0.01
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011162%0.022-0.024100%0.03
Jason Caffey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00336%-0.061-0.04540%-0.04
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.050.04653%-0.061-0.043100%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.070.011444%-0.083-0.084100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.425.915.727.41.727.3126.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +27.1%
MIL +10.3%
MIL +3.6%
MIL +5.3%
MIL +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game17.015.015.595.6106.7101.6
season16.815.4101.7106.3
opponent15.815.6106.597.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.615.817.418.117.0
MIL12.716.215.416.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry880.08-0.580.66-0.044-141816.717.0-0.2318.414.73.66
Clifford Robinson7067-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-131616.817.6-0.8316.012.33.68
Corliss Williamson3737-0.18-0.320.15-0.15-1-9817.616.51.0914.915.2-0.26
Michael Curry4647-0.21-0.290.080.08-100-1017.416.50.9814.415.7-1.25
Mehmet Okur4848-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-7417.716.11.6615.114.90.22
Chucky Atkins5151-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-6216.917.1-0.1715.414.60.80
Chauncey Billups5353-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-100-1016.517.6-1.0915.115.00.08
Richard Hamilton7777-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-111-1216.718.4-1.6714.717.2-2.56
Ben Wallace6062-0.760.26-1.03-0.24-188-2616.617.7-1.1214.216.9-2.68

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd52520.74-0.240.970.2118-82615.414.60.8117.616.11.47
Kevin Ollie34350.51-0.010.510.1512-21415.115.00.0218.915.73.21
Ervin Johnson31330.440.060.370.2664215.414.80.5718.715.92.80
Ray Allen64650.360.140.230.3128-615.813.32.5016.618.0-1.45
Anthony Mason72710.310.190.110.011001014.716.6-1.8916.718.1-1.39
Toni Kukoc48470.210.29-0.090.21010-1015.914.11.7816.917.0-0.17
Jason Caffey35350.040.46-0.42-0.0537-414.315.5-1.2915.917.6-1.70
Sam Cassell5756-0.040.54-0.590.01-212-1414.815.5-0.7415.719.0-3.24
Tim Thomas5756-0.050.55-0.60-0.0819-814.216.4-2.1816.917.1-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 83, MIN 920.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,193.5%
MIL 91, MIN 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,193.4%
PHX 99, SAS 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,193.3%