NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	6.1 [603]		MVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): +18.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	4.1 [585]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): -9.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	23	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	15	43%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	0.04	0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.01	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	15	77%	0.23	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	16	71%	0.19	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.07	-0.03	9	53%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.10	0.01	15	49%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	44%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	27.8	15.7	24.2	2.6	36.3	132.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.8%

MIN +10.8%

MIL -6.2%

MIN +10.8%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	17.0	15.6	105.8	115.1	104.4
season	15.5	16.1		104.6	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.8	15.5	18.5	14.3	16.5
MIN	15.8	18.0	16.6	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	57	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-12	16	17.9	13.7	4.21	17.9	15.4	2.53
Mo Williams	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-11	14	15.3	17.8	-2.57	16.2	18.0	-1.76
Toni Kukoc	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-1	-6	15.7	16.7	-1.01	15.2	17.6	-2.41
Jiri Welsch	14	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	0	-8	15.9	16.6	-0.74	13.4	17.7	-4.27
Michael Redd	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	16.4	16.8	-0.36	17.1	16.6	0.53
Joe Smith	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-12	16	16.6	16.1	0.53	17.8	15.3	2.50
Bobby Simmons	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-4	0	16.4	16.7	-0.36	17.5	15.2	2.31
Andrew Bogut	26	27	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	11	-30	15.6	16.9	-1.29	16.1	17.4	-1.37
T.J. Ford	70	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	7	-22	16.8	15.0	1.81	17.2	16.2	0.94

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	35	34	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-6	20	17.6	16.6	0.94	15.7	17.0	-1.32
Eddie Griffin	40	41	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-4	16	17.6	16.5	1.10	16.7	16.3	0.44
Kevin Garnett	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	17.0	16.9	0.08	16.9	15.1	1.80
Wally Szczerbiak	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-3	14	16.7	18.4	-1.68	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Marko Jaric	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	3	2	16.8	17.8	-1.01	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Richie Frahm	10	9	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	3	2	16.8	17.0	-0.24	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Mark Madsen	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	8	-8	15.9	17.3	-1.39	13.3	17.1	-3.81
Trenton Hassell	71	70	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	9	-10	16.3	20.5	-4.18	16.0	18.5	-2.49
Rashad McCants	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	14	-20	19.7	16.8	2.94	18.7	16.3	2.35
Ronald Dupree	3	4	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	14	-20	23.3	16.8	6.55	19.5	16.3	3.17
Michael Olowokandi	42	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	14	-20	17.6	16.5	1.09	18.0	15.1	2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
SAC 83, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1	92.8%
OKC 85, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.5%