NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	83		Excitement	7.3 [392]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +21.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	2.6 [659]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -24.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.01	-0.01	-0.05	15	64%	0.20	5	-0.15	6	67%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.18	4	-0.20	5	80%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	44%	0.05	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.09	-0.03	24	29%	-0.21	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.01	9	86%	0.32	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.10
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	3	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	12	60%	0.21	3	-0.08	1	0%	0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	11	30%	-0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.4	14.8	25.1	2.6	35.5	131.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +57.4%

MIN +25.0%

SAC -33.7%

MIN +9.6%

SAC -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.4	89.2	98.9	104.5
season	14.7	15.4		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.7	16.6	16.3	14.4	16.2
MIN	13.6	14.7	15.7	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	4	4	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-10	11	21.5	16.0	5.50	17.5	14.6	2.89
Maurice Taylor	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-8	7	14.0	16.6	-2.63	17.4	14.3	3.08
Brad Miller	55	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-7	5	17.1	14.9	2.18	14.2	15.6	-1.44
Francisco Garcia	7	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	12.7	16.5	-3.81	16.9	14.6	2.30
John Salmons	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.0	17.9	-3.88	16.3	13.6	2.71
Mike Bibby	73	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-7	5	17.0	13.6	3.36	14.2	16.5	-2.38
Metta World Peace	86	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	16.5	12.7	3.81	14.6	16.9	-2.30
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	0	-9	15.1	17.7	-2.67	14.9	14.5	0.42
Kenny Thomas	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	16.6	15.5	1.08	14.3	15.5	-1.12
Kevin Martin	73	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	6	-21	16.7	14.4	2.28	14.4	15.9	-1.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-6	21	14.1	17.0	-2.93	17.4	12.4	5.01
Troy Hudson	46	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-3	15	15.8	13.7	2.17	14.9	17.5	-2.62
Kevin Garnett	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-4	17	14.5	16.1	-1.61	17.1	11.7	5.37
Marko Jaric	38	39	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	3	3	15.6	14.1	1.43	14.0	17.9	-3.90
Craig Smith	21	21	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	14.7	14.7	-0.02	13.6	17.0	-3.38
Mark Blount	57	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.2	15.6	-1.44	17.1	14.9	2.18
Ricky Davis	65	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.13	4	5	-1	14.7	14.8	-0.13	16.6	15.5	1.04
Eddie Griffin	31	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	12	-15	16.5	13.9	2.58	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Mike James	47	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	12	-15	13.7	15.8	-2.17	17.5	14.9	2.62
Randy Foye	11	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	16	-23	16.4	14.5	1.85	14.9	16.4	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIA 89, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
SAS 85, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.0%