NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	85		Excitement	6.7 [495]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +13.8%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	3.1 [671]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -30.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	25	50%	0.11	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.18	-0.12	-0.00	16	45%	-0.01	9	-0.29	10	80%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	24	49%	0.20	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	14	71%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.03	10	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.07	-0.02	10	23%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	4	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.2	30.2	15.6	26.4	3.3	35.7	140.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.3%

SAS +11.6%

OKC -19.7%

SAS +34.2%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.9	89.5	98.9	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		111.5	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		97.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	11.7	18.4	15.7	14.7
SAS	16.2	15.0	14.4	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	6.0	14.8	-8.79	9.0	15.9	-6.86
Nick Collison	21	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.8	-0.46	13.6	16.3	-2.69
Kyle Singler	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	2	-12	15.0	14.5	0.46	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Serge Ibaka	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.4	15.7	-1.38	16.5	13.3	3.16
Kevin Durant	75	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.6	15.0	-0.39	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Steven Adams	36	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	17.6	12.9	4.65	17.6	14.6	2.96
Enes Kanter	60	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	13.6	16.5	-2.88	14.5	17.8	-3.27
Andre Roberson	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	15.3	13.5	1.79	17.1	13.1	4.00
Russell Westbrook	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	14.3	16.3	-2.03	16.5	12.9	3.56
Randy Foye	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	14.4	14.8	-0.44	13.5	17.0	-3.45

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	50	51	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-6	20	16.0	15.6	0.41	14.9	14.5	0.45
Danny Green	55	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	16.5	14.7	1.83	15.4	13.7	1.73
Patty Mills	38	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	14.7	16.5	-1.81	15.1	14.4	0.75
Kawhi Leonard	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	5	-2	16.5	13.2	3.29	14.1	16.7	-2.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	6	-4	16.2	14.3	1.87	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Manu Ginobili	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	1	6	13.5	17.1	-3.63	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Boris Diaw	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	15.1	16.0	-0.92	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Kyle Anderson	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	5	-2	13.8	16.3	-2.44	16.8	14.2	2.62
Tony Parker	56	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	12	-16	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Kevin Martin	7	8	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	18	-28	18.0	15.6	2.39	10.9	15.0	-4.17
Tim Duncan	45	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	13	-18	15.4	16.2	-0.83	14.8	14.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
NOH 82, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.6%
MIL 91, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1	92.5%