NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	8.0 [269]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (IND): +32.7%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	4.1 [592]		LVP	Steve Francis (NYK): -18.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.22	0.11	0.01	21	70%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.19	-0.04	0.21	-0.01	15	50%	0.25	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	20	57%	0.17	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	5	30%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,0.27	0.27	0.01	0.29	0.03	19	50%	0.40	2	-0.14	8	100%	0.07
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.01	14	53%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	3	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	9	15%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	29.4	17.5	22.3	2.4	36.0	136.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -11.9%

NYK +22.5%

NYK +24.3%

NYK +10.0%

NYK +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	17.8	15.6	110.3	111.4	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	16.0	13.6	16.1	15.1
NYK	16.5	17.5	20.7	16.6	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.35	10	-12	22	15.0	15.5	-0.47	18.1	16.7	1.44
Anthony Johnson	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-7	12	15.0	15.5	-0.54	18.0	17.3	0.72
Scot Pollard	27	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.2	-0.31	17.6	17.9	-0.30
Stephen Jackson	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-5	8	14.6	18.3	-3.71	17.4	19.8	-2.45
Jermaine O'Neal	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	15.1	15.4	-0.26	18.0	16.4	1.64
Jeff Foster	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	0	-2	15.1	15.1	-0.01	17.5	18.3	-0.77
Sarunas Jasikevicius	25	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.0	0.54	17.3	18.0	-0.72
Danny Granger	19	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	6	-14	16.8	14.7	2.11	17.7	17.8	-0.08
Fred Jones	28	30	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	9	-20	16.0	14.7	1.22	18.0	17.7	0.31

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	17.6	19.0	-1.40	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Jackie Butler	44	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-7	16	17.0	18.6	-1.61	15.5	14.8	0.61
Eddy Curry	53	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	3	-4	18.3	17.0	1.26	15.4	14.7	0.71
Nate Robinson	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.54	-4	6	-10	17.5	18.0	-0.51	15.1	15.2	-0.05
David Lee	24	24	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-1	4	17.0	18.1	-1.10	15.7	14.9	0.73
Maurice Taylor	44	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	-8	18	18.1	17.4	0.66	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Ime Udoka	8	8	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-3	8	16.6	17.9	-1.25	17.0	14.9	2.05
Steve Francis	53	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	0	2	18.2	17.1	1.12	15.4	14.7	0.66
Qyntel Woods	65	65	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	11	-20	18.1	16.9	1.15	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Malik Rose	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	13	-24	17.9	17.7	0.17	14.0	15.6	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.6%
PHX 107, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.93,0.95,1	92.4%
SAC 83, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1	92.1%