NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	7.1 [379]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +16.4%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	3.4 [597]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -16.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.02	13	77%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	72%	0.07	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.17	-0.19	0.01	-0.01	15	21%	-0.09	2	-0.08	4	0%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	9	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.09	0.02	13	73%	0.25	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	12	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.07
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	11	52%	0.12	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.4	16.3	24.1	1.8	28.2	120.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +1.4%

CHI +24.4%

CHI +26.2%

PHX -6.7%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	15.7	15.1	110.3	114.3	104.2
season	14.4	15.5		103.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	14.4	12.5	16.3	13.8
CHI	13.5	17.6	14.6	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	25	24	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.07	2	-7	9	13.2	14.0	-0.83	14.3	16.2	-1.83
PJ Tucker	55	56	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-13	21	13.6	14.1	-0.54	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Eric Bledsoe	66	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-8	11	13.5	14.5	-1.03	15.2	16.8	-1.55
Alex Len	72	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.19	3	-8	11	12.8	16.8	-4.02	15.1	17.6	-2.48
Brandan Wright	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	14.4	13.3	1.13	16.8	14.9	1.96
Markieff Morris	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	2	-9	14.4	11.2	3.25	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Archie Goodwin	33	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	6	-17	14.7	13.3	1.38	16.7	15.3	1.40
Brandon Knight	50	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	7	-19	13.9	13.7	0.18	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Marcus Morris	62	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	0	-5	14.1	13.4	0.69	16.9	13.7	3.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	34	32	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	1	3	17.4	14.8	2.64	14.6	13.4	1.16
Joakim Noah	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	15.6	16.2	-0.60	14.3	12.4	1.85
Taj Gibson	55	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	4	-3	17.6	13.3	4.30	14.2	13.3	0.96
Nikola Mirotic	24	24	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-1	7	18.2	14.9	3.25	16.7	12.9	3.85
Derrick Rose	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	-3	11	14.5	17.2	-2.70	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Aaron Brooks	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	8	-11	17.2	14.5	2.70	14.4	13.4	1.00
Pau Gasol	68	68	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	14.4	18.8	-4.45	13.0	15.8	-2.82
Jimmy Butler	76	77	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	15.1	17.9	-2.83	13.2	16.1	-2.94
Mike Dunleavy	62	61	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	4	-3	14.6	17.6	-3.04	13.0	15.1	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.93,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.5%
MIN 94, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.4%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.9%