inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Excitement6.3 [520] MVPDeron Williams (UTA): +24.6%
Utah Jazz 98 Comeback2.2 [816] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -12.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bogut0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.031272%0.154-0.12862%-0.03
Charlie Bell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.03-0.011055%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mo Williams-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.032246%0.053-0.08250%-0.00
Bobby Simmons-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01560%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Michael Redd-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.050.001062%0.083-0.116100%0.04
Royal Ivey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00250%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Yi Jianlian-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.010.01833%-0.013-0.112100%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.250.250.170.100.021469%0.404-0.162080%0.06
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00661%0.091-0.03683%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.021562%0.082-0.06475%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02557%0.072-0.05450%-0.03
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02564%0.042-0.031100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00450%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00420%-0.0800.0020%-0.05
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00025%-0.024-0.10425%-0.05
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.050.011137%-0.082-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.831.015.826.22.641.2141.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +6.5%
UTA +21.2%
UTA +5.5%
UTA +15.4%
UTA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILUTANBAMILUTANBA
this game16.713.315.490.6102.1105.7
season15.815.5103.4111.2
opponent15.015.2105.0110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL20.415.717.214.116.7
UTA12.313.815.512.013.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Simmons39390.13-0.630.76-0.015-162116.516.8-0.2814.412.61.75
Charlie Villanueva15170.06-0.560.62-0.064-151915.916.8-0.9414.813.01.73
Dan Gadzuric2220-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-111115.517.0-1.4414.513.01.52
Michael Ruffin3131-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-111118.116.02.1813.513.20.30
Royal Ivey1415-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-8515.616.8-1.2714.213.21.01
Yi Jianlian6162-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-1-915.918.0-2.0713.313.4-0.15
Mo Williams8383-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-10-1-916.816.00.7613.115.1-2.00
Andrew Bogut7879-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-121-1317.015.31.7013.014.9-1.94
Michael Redd7372-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-143-1717.015.71.3213.014.3-1.26
Charlie Bell6462-0.610.11-0.71-0.17-154-1916.716.60.0912.814.3-1.47

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams78790.66-0.160.810.1617-62313.015.0-2.0415.920.2-4.28
Kyle Korver53520.500.000.500.181101112.714.2-1.5314.818.8-3.99
Paul Millsap29290.460.040.430.2092713.713.20.5516.716.7-0.00
Mehmet Okur72740.450.050.410.2283513.712.21.5715.719.7-3.98
Matt Harpring31310.430.070.360.2274313.613.20.4018.415.82.60
Andrei Kirilenko65650.070.43-0.36-0.0547-313.213.6-0.4015.818.4-2.60
Jarron Collins24220.050.45-0.41-0.0438-512.213.7-1.5719.715.73.98
Carlos Boozer67670.040.46-0.43-0.0229-713.213.7-0.5516.716.70.00
Ronnie Brewer43440.000.50-0.500.00011-1114.212.71.5318.814.83.99
Jason Hart1817-0.160.66-0.810.02-617-2315.013.02.0420.215.94.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 80, SAS 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,193.8%
DEN 86, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,193.8%
NJN 87, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,193.6%