NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	7.3 [342]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +16.4%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	3.3 [532]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -23.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	79%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	61%	-0.00	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Chris Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Shandon Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	2	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Jacque Vaughn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	21%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	15	58%	-0.00	7	-0.21	15	80%	-0.05
Jeff Hornacek	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	10	43%	-0.07	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.14	0.00	8	70%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.08
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	14	68%	0.15	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	44%	-0.07	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	10	33%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	11	21%	-0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	29.6	14.7	32.6	2.5	45.7	152.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.2%

UTA -7.6%

SAS +17.6%

UTA -1.8%

SAS +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.6	86.0	94.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		108.1	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.9		97.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	13.7	15.2	13.1	14.8
SAS	15.4	15.8	18.3	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	18.1	13.9	4.13	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Greg Foster	45	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-13	19	17.3	12.4	4.98	15.8	16.9	-1.14
Bryon Russell	60	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-7	7	14.5	15.3	-0.79	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Antoine Carr	31	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.2	14.6	0.60	17.3	15.9	1.41
Jeff Hornacek	75	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	14.3	16.9	-2.64	16.1	17.6	-1.58
Greg Ostertag	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	13.5	15.5	-2.05	17.8	15.5	2.30
Karl Malone	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	14.2	16.7	-2.51	16.5	15.9	0.61
Shandon Anderson	18	19	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	2	-11	16.9	14.3	2.64	17.6	16.1	1.58
Howard Eisley	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	13.9	18.1	-4.13	16.5	15.9	0.61
Chris Morris	37	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	14.1	15.2	-1.09	15.3	17.1	-1.81

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	40	40	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.12	19	-12	31	15.5	17.1	-1.60	15.9	13.9	2.04
Sean Elliott	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	2	3	16.6	15.0	1.65	14.2	17.6	-3.38
Avery Johnson	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	16.7	15.1	1.60	14.0	17.1	-3.11
Tim Duncan	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	17.0	14.6	2.42	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Malik Rose	19	20	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-2	11	11.5	17.7	-6.18	15.0	14.7	0.37
Will Perdue	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	4	-1	15.6	16.9	-1.26	11.5	16.7	-5.21
Reggie Geary	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	4	-1	15.1	16.7	-1.60	17.1	14.0	3.11
David Robinson	49	50	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	8	-9	18.2	14.3	3.81	16.7	12.6	4.10
Carl Herrera	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	10	-13	17.2	16.2	0.98	16.4	14.5	1.88
Monty Williams	18	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	7	-7	14.3	16.9	-2.61	18.5	13.8	4.73
Cory Alexander	46	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	15	-23	17.1	15.7	1.41	13.3	16.3	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.8%
CLE 91, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%