NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Lee Nailon (CLE): +14.0%
Miami Heat	106		Comeback	2.9 [661]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -17.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	14	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	14	56%	0.08	8	-0.26	15	73%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	11	60%	0.13	1	0.01	8	87%	0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	73%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	80%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	3.5	32.2	16.5	25.2	3.0	28.3	130.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +4.6%

MIA +14.0%

MIA +8.0%

MIA +24.3%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.7	97.8	115.2	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		99.8	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.7	16.0	17.8	15.8
MIA	15.6	14.1	16.8	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	45	43	0.12	-0.61	0.73	0.09	1	-16	17	16.6	15.1	1.50	15.5	15.1	0.39
Carlos Boozer	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-22	29	15.0	16.4	-1.47	16.9	14.2	2.72
DeSagana Diop	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-15	15	13.2	16.5	-3.30	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Kevin Ollie	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-15	15	15.4	16.0	-0.57	15.4	15.2	0.20
Tony Battie	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-12	9	11.1	16.2	-5.07	10.0	15.7	-5.74
Kedrick Brown	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-11	7	15.8	15.8	0.01	15.5	15.2	0.32
Jason Kapono	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-6	-3	14.0	16.6	-2.59	13.3	16.1	-2.84
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-3	-9	16.6	13.2	3.41	15.8	13.7	2.07
Dajuan Wagner	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.01	-16	1	-17	15.8	15.9	-0.11	15.3	15.2	0.07
LeBron James	81	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	1	-17	16.1	14.0	2.10	15.4	14.7	0.73
Lee Nailon	55	54	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.07	-23	8	-31	16.9	14.2	2.73	14.8	16.1	-1.27

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-2	19	14.7	18.3	-3.54	16.5	12.1	4.41
Rafer Alston	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-1	17	16.0	14.2	1.74	16.0	15.6	0.35
Samaki Walker	18	17	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	3	9	13.2	15.8	-2.59	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Caron Butler	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	6	3	15.3	15.4	-0.17	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Udonis Haslem	32	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	6	3	14.3	15.8	-1.57	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Lamar Odom	69	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	9	-3	15.8	13.8	1.97	16.1	15.0	1.08
Brian Grant	65	66	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	12	-9	15.9	14.0	1.90	16.4	14.5	1.90
Eddie Jones	57	57	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	13	-11	15.5	15.0	0.45	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Rasual Butler	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	14	-13	15.3	15.3	-0.04	14.0	16.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	93.5%
SAC 85, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
SEA 90, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.2%