NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	6.0 [623]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +27.2%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	2.5 [628]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -22.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	17	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.07	0.01	11	92%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.10	0.03	10	67%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	8	65%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.06	0.03	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	54%	0.03	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	27.6	16.5	26.3	2.5	27.3	127.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.5%

SAC -4.5%

TOR +21.2%

TOR +4.3%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.4	92.4	111.0	104.5
season	14.7	15.2		104.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.3	14.9	15.8	15.4	15.6
TOR	15.0	15.1	17.0	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	13.0	15.6	-2.60	20.0	15.9	4.14
Francisco Garcia	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-11	6	13.9	15.8	-1.88	13.5	16.2	-2.68
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-15	14	16.1	14.4	1.75	16.9	14.0	2.89
Justin Williams	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-11	6	13.2	15.9	-2.67	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Corliss Williamson	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-10	4	14.4	16.2	-1.84	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Quincy Douby	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-13	10	14.1	15.8	-1.69	13.6	16.3	-2.67
Mike Bibby	73	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	15.4	16.2	-0.73	16.4	14.2	2.12
Brad Miller	64	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-7	-2	16.1	14.4	1.70	16.6	14.4	2.13
Metta World Peace	80	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-8	0	15.8	14.2	1.53	15.9	15.8	0.06
John Salmons	36	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	-3	-10	15.0	15.9	-0.95	14.3	16.9	-2.53
Kevin Martin	80	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.05	-24	8	-32	16.1	11.7	4.40	16.3	13.0	3.30

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	58	57	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.02	25	-9	34	15.6	16.5	-0.96	15.6	15.5	0.15
Jose Calderon	45	44	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-3	22	15.4	16.4	-0.95	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Jorge Garbajosa	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-3	22	15.5	18.1	-2.59	15.1	17.7	-2.63
Andrea Bargnani	33	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	6	4	15.7	16.0	-0.37	17.0	14.8	2.20
Joey Graham	41	41	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	4	8	15.4	16.3	-0.84	14.3	16.6	-2.27
Chris Bosh	67	69	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	11	-6	16.1	15.2	0.88	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Kris Humphries	12	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	13	-10	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Darrick Martin	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.5	15.8	3.68	10.0	15.7	-5.70
Anthony Parker	51	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	21	-26	16.1	15.7	0.36	15.3	15.9	-0.57
T.J. Ford	44	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	19	-22	16.2	15.6	0.63	16.4	14.8	1.59
Rasho Nesterovic	26	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	21	-26	18.0	15.1	2.88	17.8	14.6	3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.0%
PHI 71, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.9%
GSW 107, POR 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.5%