NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	6.1 [564]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +16.5%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	2.0 [989]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -13.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	63%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	90%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.15	10	70%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.14	-0.02	10	50%	0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	17	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	77%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	7	72%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	39%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	35.2	15.8	26.2	2.4	34.2	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.8%

NJN -0.6%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +12.3%

BOS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.3	97.8	109.1	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		98.7	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	15.9	18.3	16.7	16.2
BOS	16.6	16.8	16.0	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-10	11	15.3	16.4	-1.12	16.9	16.2	0.72
Kris Humphries	43	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-13	17	16.2	16.1	0.08	16.5	16.2	0.33
Devin Harris	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.1	0.06	15.5	18.6	-3.04
Jarvis Hayes	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.9	-1.36	15.5	17.5	-1.98
Terrence Williams	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-3	-3	16.5	15.9	0.62	17.4	15.7	1.72
Keyon Dooling	24	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	16.1	16.2	-0.06	18.6	15.5	3.04
Brook Lopez	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	0	-9	16.2	16.2	0.02	16.5	15.6	0.89
Courtney Lee	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	1	-11	16.4	15.0	1.42	16.2	17.3	-1.07
Yi Jianlian	58	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	16.4	15.7	0.65	16.2	16.6	-0.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	81	81	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-8	25	16.2	18.3	-2.08	16.3	14.4	1.97
Eddie House	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	1	7	17.0	15.8	1.16	16.2	16.1	0.12
Glen Davis	34	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	18.3	15.2	3.08	17.7	15.1	2.61
Henry Walker	15	16	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	19.3	15.8	3.49	17.1	16.0	1.17
Rasheed Wallace	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	12	-15	18.7	14.6	4.16	17.2	15.4	1.73
Kendrick Perkins	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.09	10	-1	11	14.8	18.5	-3.64	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Ray Allen	63	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	5	-1	15.7	18.1	-2.44	16.0	16.5	-0.41
Kevin Garnett	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	15.1	18.2	-3.13	15.0	17.8	-2.76
Brian Scalabrine	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	8	-7	16.4	16.4	0.03	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Tony Allen	52	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	14	-19	16.0	17.0	-1.01	15.6	17.1	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.7%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.6%
MEM 88, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.93,1	93.2%