NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	6.1 [563]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +12.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	2.3 [884]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -17.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	14	66%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	7	37%	-0.06	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	4	50%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.08	0.05	16	61%	-0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	20	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.03	9	73%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	8	6%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	27.2	15.4	22.8	1.8	28.6	126.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.5%

MEM -2.7%

POR +6.0%

POR +3.5%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	15.5	102.3	106.8	101.6
season	15.3	16.0		101.8	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.8	13.9	18.6	15.6	17.1
POR	14.5	18.8	15.7	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	30	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-14	22	15.2	18.1	-2.93	18.3	14.7	3.62
Drew Gooden	59	59	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-13	20	17.7	15.9	1.83	16.8	14.4	2.43
Jason Williams	67	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	16.4	19.7	-3.38	15.5	17.8	-2.31
Lorenzen Wright	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	17.0	17.1	-0.13	19.6	15.2	4.43
Mike Batiste	15	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	18.0	16.9	1.08	18.6	15.3	3.27
Gordan Giricek	15	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	1	-8	15.5	17.4	-1.90	11.9	16.9	-5.00
Shane Battier	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	16.9	17.9	-0.98	15.2	19.4	-4.19
Pau Gasol	76	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	17.2	16.0	1.25	15.3	21.2	-5.85
Brevin Knight	23	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	1	-8	17.0	17.1	-0.14	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Stromile Swift	57	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.14	-18	12	-30	18.6	14.1	4.58	16.0	16.0	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	66	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-2	10	16.0	15.9	0.14	17.6	15.7	1.84
Jeff McInnis	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	4	-2	15.8	16.3	-0.46	15.2	20.2	-4.99
Antonio Daniels	51	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	5	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.40	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Rasheed Wallace	78	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	15.6	19.4	-3.82	17.0	17.8	-0.79
Zach Randolph	22	22	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	1	4	17.9	15.4	2.47	16.8	17.2	-0.38
Dale Davis	74	72	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	5	-4	16.2	15.0	1.20	17.6	14.5	3.11
Derek Anderson	4	4	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	0	6	10.0	16.3	-6.30	22.7	16.8	5.92
Ruben Patterson	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	3	0	16.4	15.6	0.84	17.5	16.8	0.73
Damon Stoudamire	49	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.0	16.0	0.02	17.7	16.3	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
SAS 79, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.6%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.5%