NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	6.9 [471]		MVP	Channing Frye (CLE): +18.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	2.0 [834]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -9.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	14	55%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.05	21	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.00	15	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	9	83%	0.20	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	17	53%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.05	0.01	21	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	18%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	26.5	15.6	23.3	2.4	32.6	126.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.3%

CHA -9.3%

CLE +14.8%

CHA -4.8%

CLE +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	14.8	101.1	108.7	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		107.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	15.9	15.5	16.5	15.5
CLE	14.4	14.8	15.9	18.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	27	28	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-11	15	14.4	16.0	-1.61	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Marvin Williams	49	51	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-13	19	14.7	16.4	-1.70	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Nicolas Batum	65	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.2	18.7	-4.57	15.5	16.5	-0.93
Kemba Walker	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-6	5	15.2	16.1	-0.82	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Roy Hibbert	27	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.9	13.3	2.62	15.9	15.0	0.92
Ramon Sessions	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	16.8	14.9	1.95	16.8	15.3	1.49
Spencer Hawes	38	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.7	14.7	1.95	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Frank Kaminsky	43	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	6	-19	16.4	14.7	1.70	16.8	15.0	1.78
Marco Belinelli	40	38	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	16.3	14.9	1.44	15.9	15.7	0.26

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	47	48	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-5	17	16.7	14.8	1.94	16.0	15.0	1.07
Channing Frye	44	44	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	17.3	14.4	2.84	16.4	14.7	1.63
Jordan McRae	24	23	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	17.8	15.1	2.76	15.9	15.4	0.54
LeBron James	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-5	17	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Iman Shumpert	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	0	7	16.9	13.8	3.13	16.1	14.4	1.70
Kay Felder	11	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	6	-5	18.1	15.5	2.61	12.0	15.9	-3.94
Mike Dunleavy	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	14.4	16.7	-2.30	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Kevin Love	54	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	5	-3	14.1	18.2	-4.16	14.8	16.5	-1.72
Kyrie Irving	52	55	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	12	-17	14.4	17.6	-3.20	15.7	15.2	0.49
Tristan Thompson	59	59	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.05	-10	17	-27	14.9	17.3	-2.35	15.6	15.3	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%