NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	6.1 [563]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +32.8%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	4.3 [399]		LVP	Monty Williams (ORL): -16.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.23	0.09	-0.00	16	82%	0.33	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Don Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.07
Troy Hudson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	7	31%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	7	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	69%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	17	41%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	55%	0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	27.4	16.5	24.3	2.4	28.6	129.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.6%

NYK +11.2%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +2.4%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	17.5	15.5	92.1	105.6	100.9
season	14.6	16.4		101.6	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		96.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	15.8	13.3	16.9	14.9
NYK	17.7	16.9	17.2	18.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	30	29	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.06	6	-18	24	13.2	15.7	-2.44	18.8	16.9	1.86
Darrell Armstrong	60	60	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-14	16	15.1	14.2	0.91	17.9	16.6	1.36
Cory Alexander	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	7.5	15.0	-7.52	20.0	17.5	2.52
Tracy McGrady	28	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.0	-0.36	18.5	17.1	1.40
Bo Outlaw	53	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-11	10	14.9	14.7	0.22	18.2	16.5	1.68
Mike Miller	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-12	12	14.2	16.2	-1.98	18.7	15.1	3.56
Pat Garrity	28	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	0	-12	15.4	14.6	0.79	15.2	18.6	-3.46
Monty Williams	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	14.6	15.3	-0.69	17.5	17.5	-0.02
Don Reid	19	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.6	14.6	0.99	15.9	18.0	-2.01
Troy Hudson	31	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	0	-12	14.0	15.3	-1.26	16.2	18.2	-1.92
John Amaechi	40	41	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	2	-16	16.0	13.9	2.13	16.2	18.6	-2.48
Michael Doleac	33	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	0	-12	16.3	14.0	2.35	17.4	17.6	-0.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	50	51	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.15	21	-9	30	16.6	18.6	-1.98	16.6	12.5	4.06
Glen Rice	57	57	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.14	21	-9	30	16.5	19.3	-2.77	16.1	12.6	3.58
Kurt Thomas	60	60	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-6	24	16.9	18.8	-1.86	15.9	12.7	3.16
Latrell Sprewell	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	1	10	18.0	16.3	1.69	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Marcus Camby	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	1	10	17.6	17.1	0.51	15.3	13.2	2.12
Larry Johnson	48	47	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	17	-22	18.1	16.8	1.30	12.9	17.0	-4.15
Mark Jackson	39	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	21	-30	18.6	16.6	1.98	12.5	16.6	-4.06
Allan Houston	58	56	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	20	-28	17.9	16.7	1.27	13.7	16.9	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.9,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	93.1%
OKC 106, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%