inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Excitement6.8 [479] MVPMarreese Speights (GSW): +16.6%
Golden State Warriors 121 Comeback4.3 [550] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -17.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.140,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.01-0.021277%0.232-0.092100%0.01
Kyle Singler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.00-0.00675%0.0700.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01250%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Kevin Durant0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.041771%0.309-0.281191%0.03
Enes Kanter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00555%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Dion Waiters-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.040.00643%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Andre Roberson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00725%-0.0500.002100%0.02
Randy Foye-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00729%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.060.042440%-0.122-0.05771%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.060.005100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.02665%0.1100.005100%0.05
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.011058%0.121-0.03425%-0.04
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.011164%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.060.02287%0.101-0.02475%-0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00460%0.062-0.042100%0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.15-0.040.102560%0.051-0.04580%-0.02
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.050.011955%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.528.517.725.32.733.2135.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +49.2%
OKC -6.3%
OKC -6.3%
GSW +17.3%
OKC -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.813.914.9103.9122.2105.1
season14.413.7111.5112.3
opponent15.115.1102.9104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.815.015.315.014.8
GSW15.012.114.114.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Adams42390.06-0.560.62-0.033-182114.514.9-0.3514.713.31.37
Andre Roberson75720.05-0.550.600.08-1-141314.615.1-0.4314.412.61.83
Serge Ibaka7976-0.05-0.450.390.09-5-10514.316.3-2.0014.013.50.48
Russell Westbrook7776-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-9314.316.2-1.9114.113.10.99
Enes Kanter2627-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.13-9-6-316.514.12.3912.714.3-1.58
Kevin Durant8480-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-13-2-1114.317.0-2.7314.411.82.53
Kyle Singler4544-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.17-9-6-314.614.9-0.2411.815.5-3.73
Randy Foye4040-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-11-4-715.414.31.1413.813.9-0.07
Dion Waiters4241-0.800.30-1.11-0.10-249-3316.213.72.4813.714.1-0.39

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaun Livingston42420.54-0.040.580.0417-21914.013.80.2815.514.21.23
Andre Iguodala27290.480.020.460.2296314.213.80.4616.114.21.84
Marreese Speights25240.470.030.440.15114712.114.5-2.4215.914.41.46
Leandro Barbosa28270.440.060.390.1896313.114.2-1.0915.814.41.44
Harrison Barnes66670.140.36-0.210.17-116-1714.313.11.2014.315.6-1.29
Brandon Rush21210.130.37-0.23-0.0778-111.214.6-3.4215.314.60.73
Stephen Curry79810.100.40-0.31-0.0869-313.714.7-1.0214.217.0-2.77
Andrew Bogut53570.090.41-0.33-0.06510-514.812.81.9914.415.2-0.72
Klay Thompson71750.060.44-0.39-0.1269-314.213.11.0914.415.8-1.44
Draymond Green71750.050.45-0.41-0.1678-114.213.11.1414.415.9-1.49
Anderson Varejao12120.000.50-0.500.03-116-1714.213.80.4116.114.61.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 98, LAC 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,193.0%
LAC 107, SAS 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.95,192.6%
CLE 102, ATL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,192.6%