NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	6.8 [480]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +24.1%
San Antonio Spurs	115		Comeback	2.6 [702]		LVP	Josh Smith (LAC): -9.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.05	0.00	14	71%	0.24	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	19	60%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	20	40%	-0.23
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.14	0.00	15	66%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	18	62%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	6	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	14	54%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	32.5	16.4	32.5	3.4	44.3	156.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.8%

SAS +10.3%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +7.5%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	13.8	16.2	14.9	111.5	119.8	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		97.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	15.0	14.2	12.0	13.8
SAS	17.1	15.0	16.4	16.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	40	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-13	18	15.4	12.6	2.75	17.5	15.3	2.17
Chris Paul	66	66	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-13	18	14.1	13.1	0.96	16.9	14.7	2.15
Blake Griffin	78	76	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-16	24	13.8	13.7	0.09	17.2	12.2	5.00
JJ Redick	64	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	13.8	13.7	0.06	17.3	14.3	2.96
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-4	0	14.3	12.6	1.73	16.9	14.6	2.32
Lance Stephenson	20	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.6	13.3	2.28	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Josh Smith	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	12.7	14.2	-1.51	15.1	16.7	-1.55
Wesley Johnson	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	10.5	15.5	-4.95	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Jamal Crawford	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	2	-12	13.4	14.0	-0.56	13.6	17.8	-4.16
Paul Pierce	19	20	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	6	-20	14.3	13.7	0.65	12.2	17.2	-5.00
Austin Rivers	30	31	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	5	-18	13.1	14.1	-0.96	14.4	17.1	-2.69

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	18	19	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.09	17	-9	26	14.1	16.7	-2.58	14.7	13.6	1.11
Patty Mills	50	49	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-2	12	15.6	16.8	-1.23	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Manu Ginobili	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	14.5	17.7	-3.15	12.9	14.6	-1.71
David West	30	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	2	4	15.5	16.5	-1.08	13.9	13.7	0.20
Boris Diaw	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	15.2	16.9	-1.77	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Tony Parker	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	9	-10	17.3	14.4	2.91	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Tim Duncan	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	17.6	14.4	3.25	14.7	12.5	2.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	16.6	15.4	1.26	13.2	15.0	-1.78
Kawhi Leonard	69	69	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	18	-28	17.0	14.1	2.97	14.0	13.3	0.74
Danny Green	49	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	13	-18	15.8	16.6	-0.84	14.4	13.1	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 106, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.2%
MEM 90, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	92.0%