NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	7.0 [411]		MVP	Scott Williams (PHX): +15.7%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	2.0 [819]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -16.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	12	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mike Batiste	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	18	52%	0.04	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	6	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	20	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	22	45%	-0.04	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	16	47%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	25.5	15.8	23.2	2.4	32.4	126.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -2.6%

PHX +11.5%

PHX +47.7%

MEM -3.8%

MEM -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.5	101.1	109.1	101.6
season	15.3	15.0		101.8	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		100.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	17.5	15.4	15.5	16.1
PHX	14.1	16.8	16.6	18.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	14	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-7	8	17.1	15.9	1.20	15.6	16.7	-1.06
Gordan Giricek	67	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-12	18	15.1	19.1	-4.03	17.2	14.5	2.71
Brevin Knight	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	18.7	14.7	3.94	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Jason Williams	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	14.7	18.7	-3.94	17.0	15.5	1.55
Earl Watson	11	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	1	-8	18.4	15.7	2.63	13.2	16.9	-3.64
Pau Gasol	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-6	6	15.6	17.9	-2.34	16.7	15.6	1.10
Shane Battier	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	16.1	16.1	0.01	16.6	16.4	0.14
Drew Gooden	27	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	3	-12	18.1	15.1	3.00	15.8	16.8	-1.09
Lorenzen Wright	69	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-3	0	15.3	18.7	-3.41	17.1	14.7	2.41
Mike Batiste	25	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	4	-14	19.0	14.9	4.09	14.7	17.1	-2.39

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	1	4	16.2	19.3	-3.04	15.5	22.6	-7.07
Scott Williams	42	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-4	14	17.2	15.8	1.34	16.3	15.8	0.43
Stephon Marbury	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	0	6	16.0	18.2	-2.13	15.2	19.3	-4.08
Randy Brown	31	32	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	4	-2	17.3	16.1	1.24	17.0	15.5	1.47
Casey Jacobsen	33	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	1	4	17.5	15.9	1.59	18.1	14.8	3.28
Jake Voskuhl	21	21	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	4	-2	15.0	17.0	-1.96	14.7	16.5	-1.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.4	1.29	15.2	21.7	-6.58
Dan Langhi	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	2	2	16.9	16.4	0.50	18.1	15.5	2.51
Bo Outlaw	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	7	-8	16.6	16.5	0.10	20.0	14.6	5.34
Joe Johnson	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.9	17.1	-1.18	15.3	16.8	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	93.9%
WAS 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.0%
IND 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.96,1	93.0%