NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	6.8 [467]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +15.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.8 [871]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -17.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	19	58%	0.19	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	15	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	15	51%	0.05	6	-0.22	7	86%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.15	0.01	21	48%	0.21	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	90%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	25.3	15.6	26.1	2.4	41.6	136.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.1%

CLE +7.5%

CLE +28.6%

NJN -17.2%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	91.4	96.8	104.4
season	15.7	16.2		102.1	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	16.6	15.1	13.7	15.2
CLE	13.8	15.4	16.2	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.09	-2	-4	2	17.2	14.3	2.89	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Antoine Wright	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-3	0	14.4	15.3	-0.88	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Jason Collins	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	14.0	17.3	-3.38	16.9	13.4	3.52
Scott Padgett	20	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-3	0	17.5	14.6	2.88	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Nenad Krstic	70	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-7	8	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.9	12.3	4.64
Clifford Robinson	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	1	-8	17.4	13.9	3.47	13.4	17.0	-3.65
Richard Jefferson	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.4	0.88	15.6	14.4	1.23
Jason Kidd	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	13.9	20.0	-6.07	15.8	14.7	1.10
Vince Carter	84	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	1	-8	15.5	13.1	2.35	15.4	17.2	-1.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	45	44	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-1	8	15.8	15.4	0.37	16.0	14.6	1.41
LeBron James	87	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	1	4	15.5	16.3	-0.78	15.4	13.0	2.39
Sasha Pavlovic	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	5	-4	15.8	14.7	1.09	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Eric Snow	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	2	2	15.4	15.8	-0.35	13.8	17.9	-4.14
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	4	-2	16.3	14.5	1.84	14.6	16.2	-1.58
Damon Jones	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.3	14.2	2.03
Donyell Marshall	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	15.7	15.4	0.32	16.6	14.1	2.50
Luke Jackson	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	14.8	15.7	-0.98	18.2	14.6	3.64
Drew Gooden	44	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	4	-2	14.7	16.3	-1.57	14.3	16.2	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.9%
DEN 94, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.9%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	92.5%