NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	6.8 [415]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +17.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	2.4 [237]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	8	75%	0.27	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	13	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.08	0.04	0.05	18	68%	0.18	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	63%	0.10	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Ronnie Price	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	15	44%	-0.03	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	10	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	11	42%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	4	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	13	61%	0.13	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	18	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	33.0	18.6	29.9	1.7	33.3	140.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.1%

MIN +7.4%

MIN +8.4%

MIN +20.8%

UTA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.4	112.0	119.6	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		111.2	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		109.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.0	17.3	14.0	14.3	15.8
MIN	14.7	14.8	14.8	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	46	45	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.07	11	-18	29	16.4	15.3	1.07	14.6	16.3	-1.65
CJ Miles	41	41	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-13	19	15.3	16.3	-0.98	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Ronnie Brewer	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-10	13	16.2	15.2	0.96	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Ronnie Price	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.6	1.62	11.6	16.0	-4.47
Kyrylo Fesenko	3	2	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	8.0	16.1	-8.10	6.0	15.7	-9.68
Carlos Boozer	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.6	17.3	-1.63	16.0	11.0	5.01
Deron Williams	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	15.6	17.2	-1.62	16.0	11.6	4.47
Kyle Korver	38	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	15.2	16.3	-1.07	16.0	15.1	0.94
Matt Harpring	51	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	15.9	15.8	0.15	16.4	14.4	1.97
Paul Millsap	52	54	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	12	-31	16.5	14.9	1.61	16.0	14.8	1.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	49	48	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-5	17	16.0	14.8	1.23	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Marko Jaric	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-1	9	15.4	15.8	-0.38	15.9	15.6	0.33
Rashad McCants	46	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.1	15.6	0.55
Chris Richard	22	21	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	1	5	14.5	15.8	-1.21	17.0	15.5	1.57
Craig Smith	28	27	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	2	3	13.9	16.2	-2.26	16.6	15.5	1.02
Ryan Gomes	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	5	-3	16.2	13.9	2.26	15.5	16.6	-1.02
Al Jefferson	70	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	15.8	14.5	1.21	15.5	17.0	-1.57
Corey Brewer	50	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	15.9	14.9	0.99	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Randy Foye	53	54	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	12	-17	15.0	16.1	-1.10	15.7	16.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, NOH 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.92,1	93.0%
MIN 94, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.0%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	93.0%