NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	6.4 [523]		MVP	Nerlens Noel (PHI): +14.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.8 [466]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (MIN): -24.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	10	56%	0.17	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	117%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	18	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	10	42%	-0.05	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	8	87%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	4	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.15	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	13	53%	0.04	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Larry Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.3	15.4	26.6	2.4	34.4	133.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.1%

MIN -6.5%

MIN -8.9%

PHI +34.6%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.1	97.9	109.6	104.2
season	15.0	14.9		101.2	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.4	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.0	15.7	14.3	12.5	15.0
PHI	14.1	15.0	16.5	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-15	21	16.3	13.8	2.54	15.4	15.2	0.26
Anthony Bennett	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-6	3	15.7	14.9	0.81	16.8	15.0	1.80
Gorgui Dieng	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-12	15	15.3	14.3	1.05	14.4	17.3	-2.86
Andrew Wiggins	74	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	14.6	16.4	-1.80	15.0	16.2	-1.15
Chase Budinger	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	15.7	14.7	0.97	17.1	14.4	2.73
Nikola Pekovic	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	16.0	13.5	2.47	16.3	13.6	2.69
Kevin Martin	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.1	16.6	-2.52	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Thaddeus Young	79	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	14.7	16.4	-1.62	14.6	18.1	-3.41
Lorenzo Brown	49	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	6	-21	13.8	16.3	-2.54	15.2	15.4	-0.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Drew	26	25	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	0	9	14.8	15.5	-0.73	15.8	14.7	1.05
KJ McDaniels	45	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	0	9	15.4	15.2	0.20	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Hollis Thompson	30	32	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	2	5	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Jerami Grant	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	2	5	13.9	16.7	-2.85	13.4	16.6	-3.21
Nerlens Noel	60	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	3	3	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.2	14.7	0.53
Robert Covington	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	7	-5	15.7	14.4	1.29	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Henry Sims	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	6	-3	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Luc Mbah a Moute	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	8	-7	15.9	14.1	1.78	15.3	14.5	0.72
Michael Carter-Williams	68	71	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	15.5	14.8	0.73	14.7	15.8	-1.05
JaKarr Sampson	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	8	-7	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.4	13.8	3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.5%
CLE 79, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.2%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	93.0%