NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.9 [398]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +26.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	122		Comeback	1.5 [483]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -14.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	11	60%	0.17	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Brian Skinner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	18	60%	0.16	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.03	10	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	9	36%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.10	0.03	13	82%	0.32	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.01	20	70%	0.43	8	-0.23	14	93%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	18	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	34.3	19.5	28.5	3.8	40.2	157.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.8%

LAL +16.2%

LAL +14.6%

PHX -2.9%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	15.4	111.7	118.4	105.7
season	13.8	14.6		111.1	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	15.1	13.2	12.5	13.4
LAL	13.8	13.7	15.6	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	78	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-10	13	13.4	13.3	0.10	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Raja Bell	72	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	13.5	13.2	0.25	14.7	14.3	0.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-10	13	13.2	13.7	-0.49	14.7	14.3	0.42
Boris Diaw	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	4	-15	13.7	13.2	0.50	14.1	14.8	-0.62
Shawn Marion	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-5	3	13.3	13.7	-0.45	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Brian Skinner	45	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	14.1	12.9	1.19	15.1	14.1	1.01
Leandro Barbosa	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	1	-9	13.6	13.1	0.51	14.6	14.6	0.00
Grant Hill	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	12.8	15.0	-2.12	14.6	14.5	0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	90	89	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-7	21	14.5	14.8	-0.32	13.5	12.6	0.96
Kobe Bryant	89	89	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-2	11	14.5	14.9	-0.34	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Jordan Farmar	36	36	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	14.9	14.4	0.54	14.4	12.9	1.57
Lamar Odom	92	91	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	14.6	14.5	0.02	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Vladimir Radmanovic	21	22	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-2	11	14.2	14.6	-0.41	13.5	13.4	0.19
Sasha Vujacic	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	14.9	14.4	0.45	14.1	13.0	1.04
Trevor Ariza	72	72	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	11	-15	14.6	14.5	0.02	13.4	13.5	-0.08
Derek Fisher	67	67	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	14.4	14.9	-0.54	12.9	14.4	-1.57
Ronny Turiaf	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	14	-21	14.8	14.5	0.32	12.6	13.5	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 89, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.2%
LAC 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%