NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	6.9 [425]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +11.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.5 [940]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -27.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	45%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	11	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	13	19%	-0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.16	-0.12	-0.00	14	31%	-0.17	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	12	73%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	6	93%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	13	47%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	14	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	17%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.0	26.3	15.7	25.2	2.4	26.6	122.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +60.6%

CLE -10.7%

CLE -8.9%

PHI +9.5%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	18.2	15.2	15.4	91.9	98.9	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		102.5	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.4	19.0	17.6	16.7	18.2
PHI	14.9	16.2	13.7	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Pargo	20	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	17.6	18.3	-0.72	16.1	14.8	1.31
CJ Miles	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-4	1	17.4	18.5	-1.14	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Omri Casspi	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	0	-7	17.2	18.5	-1.25	15.8	14.9	0.84
Dion Waiters	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-4	1	18.5	17.6	0.94	15.6	14.4	1.18
Alonzo Gee	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	18.5	17.0	1.50	14.7	16.8	-2.13
Tyler Zeller	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	18.5	17.7	0.74	15.5	14.8	0.70
Kyrie Irving	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	18.3	17.5	0.80	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Tristan Thompson	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	17.5	19.5	-2.06	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Anderson Varejao	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	18.5	16.9	1.57	15.0	15.8	-0.83

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	15.4	14.4	1.00	18.4	17.1	1.26
Spencer Hawes	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	14.6	15.9	-1.31	18.1	18.3	-0.18
Jason Richardson	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	16.2	12.8	3.40	17.6	19.4	-1.76
Thaddeus Young	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	15.7	13.8	1.87	18.0	18.6	-0.65
Lavoy Allen	42	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-5	17	14.6	15.7	-1.05	18.4	18.0	0.39
Jrue Holiday	67	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	15.1	15.5	-0.44	18.2	18.0	0.20
Royal Ivey	12	12	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.13	3	4	-1	13.3	15.5	-2.12	18.7	18.1	0.70
Nick Young	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	2	3	13.7	15.9	-2.28	19.2	17.6	1.63
Kwame Brown	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	15	-23	16.3	14.9	1.41	18.5	18.1	0.40
Dorell Wright	22	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	14	-21	15.0	15.2	-0.22	16.9	18.6	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.3%