NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	6.9 [440]		MVP	Willie Green (LAC): +19.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	2.8 [697]		LVP	Steve Blake (GSW): -13.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.07	-0.00	-0.05	7	76%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	15	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	4	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.01	19	62%	0.14	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	11	57%	0.06	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	6	108%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.02	11	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	15	44%	0.05	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	28	47%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.07
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	28.1	15.7	29.2	2.7	32.0	134.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.1%

GSW -9.1%

LAC +12.8%

LAC +14.3%

LAC +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.1	99.0	113.3	105.2
season	14.2	14.3		105.9	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	15.0	14.1	14.4	14.4
LAC	14.1	13.8	13.0	19.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	54	55	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-16	19	14.4	14.4	0.04	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Andre Iguodala	63	63	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-13	13	14.1	14.9	-0.77	15.2	14.1	1.18
Marreese Speights	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	5.5	14.6	-9.11	28.5	14.5	13.97
David Lee	64	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-11	9	14.7	13.9	0.88	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Stephen Curry	64	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-15	17	13.7	15.8	-2.08	14.1	16.1	-2.06
Klay Thompson	72	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	-9	5	14.2	14.9	-0.69	14.2	16.4	-2.13
Jordan Crawford	21	20	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	16.7	13.8	2.91	15.5	14.6	0.86
Jermaine O'Neal	34	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Harrison Barnes	37	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-2	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.9	14.8	0.15
Steve Blake	41	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	5	-23	15.0	14.0	0.94	15.8	14.1	1.78
Draymond Green	43	42	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.14	-18	5	-23	14.7	14.2	0.40	15.8	14.1	1.65

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	2	9	13.5	16.2	-2.69	14.8	14.0	0.89
Glen Davis	27	28	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	15.1	14.7	0.36	14.8	14.3	0.55
Chris Paul	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	0	13	14.6	15.8	-1.25	14.1	15.6	-1.43
Blake Griffin	87	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	3	7	14.8	14.8	-0.00	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Willie Green	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.0	13.9	1.10
Darren Collison	61	62	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	8	-3	15.6	13.5	2.05	14.5	14.3	0.25
Hedo Turkoglu	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	14.8	14.8	0.00	16.4	14.1	2.27
Jared Dudley	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	14.0	14.8	-0.82	0.0	14.6	-14.57
DeAndre Jordan	70	70	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	11	-9	14.7	15.0	-0.31	14.5	14.3	0.16
Matt Barnes	59	58	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	15	-17	15.5	13.8	1.61	13.9	15.2	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.4%
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
HOU 90, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.2%