NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	6.5 [564]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +14.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.4 [756]		LVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): -14.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	74%	0.22	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	17	53%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Flores	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	-0.05	26	46%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.04	0.05	15	52%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	18	63%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	16	66%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	14	44%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	27.3	16.5	23.3	2.4	35.7	131.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.3%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +13.8%

GSW -15.6%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.5	109.8	114.1	104.0
season	15.0	15.7		102.3	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.4	13.2	16.4	15.0	15.2
LAL	15.6	17.5	14.9	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	50	50	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.09	11	-15	26	14.8	15.7	-0.87	14.8	17.6	-2.78
Luis Flores	6	6	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	11.5	15.5	-3.98	23.0	15.6	7.40
Calbert Cheaney	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	17.1	14.7	2.47	17.1	15.8	1.31
Mickael Pietrus	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Eduardo Najera	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-8	12	14.5	15.8	-1.29	17.0	15.2	1.83
Jason Richardson	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	14.8	17.8	-2.97	16.4	14.6	1.79
Dale Davis	20	21	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	12	-28	18.6	14.3	4.39	16.9	15.8	1.06
Derek Fisher	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.9	17.2	-2.24	15.8	18.2	-2.39
Troy Murphy	65	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.22	16.3	15.6	0.73
Mike Dunleavy	78	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	4	-12	15.3	14.7	0.59	15.6	18.6	-3.00

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-5	14	15.4	21.8	-6.41	15.7	10.4	5.29
Chucky Atkins	84	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-4	12	15.5	22.7	-7.30	15.4	13.3	2.09
Lamar Odom	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	15.9	17.1	-1.26	14.8	17.1	-2.35
Brian Grant	29	28	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-2	8	16.1	16.1	0.07	16.1	14.8	1.33
Caron Butler	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.46	1	3	-2	16.2	15.3	0.88	14.8	18.2	-3.39
Chris Mihm	45	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	0	4	14.8	17.3	-2.56	15.9	14.5	1.43
Sasha Vujacic	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	17.8	16.0	1.81	10.6	15.5	-4.88
Brian Cook	35	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	13	-22	18.2	14.8	3.46	14.5	15.7	-1.13
Tierre Brown	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	8	-12	22.7	15.5	7.30	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Luke Walton	15	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	6	-8	18.8	15.6	3.24	16.2	15.0	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 85, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 84, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%