NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	81		Excitement	5.8 [650]		MVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): +10.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	2.0 [734]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): -15.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	14	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Avery Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	16	41%	-0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	15	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.03	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	17	62%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	24.3	15.6	24.6	1.8	25.6	115.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.5%

GSW -7.2%

MIN +8.8%

MIN +10.5%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	18.4	15.9	15.7	96.4	108.3	100.5
season	16.1	15.6		100.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.3		98.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	19.2	18.7	18.0	17.7	18.4
MIN	14.1	17.3	14.0	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-13	16	16.7	18.7	-1.96	16.1	15.8	0.28
Mickael Pietrus	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	10.5	18.6	-8.12	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Nick Van Exel	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	18.1	19.0	-0.90	16.0	15.6	0.44
Avery Johnson	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	19.0	18.1	0.90	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Mike Dunleavy	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-9	8	18.6	18.3	0.35	15.9	15.8	0.12
Jason Richardson	77	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	18.3	19.6	-1.25	15.9	15.6	0.31
Brian Cardinal	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	18.7	17.3	1.39	16.1	14.8	1.29
Erick Dampier	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	19.0	16.4	2.60	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Clifford Robinson	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	2	-14	18.1	20.8	-2.63	15.7	17.0	-1.30

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	55	56	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-10	30	15.5	16.5	-0.96	19.8	15.7	4.07
Kevin Garnett	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	15.8	16.4	-0.65	18.3	19.2	-0.95
Fred Hoiberg	46	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	3	4	16.8	14.7	2.14	18.3	18.6	-0.28
Trenton Hassell	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-1	12	15.3	16.9	-1.53	18.2	18.9	-0.70
Troy Hudson	34	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	12	-14	16.2	15.6	0.59	18.6	18.3	0.24
Sam Cassell	50	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	-2	14	15.6	16.2	-0.59	18.3	18.6	-0.24
Latrell Sprewell	69	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	6	-2	15.6	16.9	-1.31	18.5	18.2	0.26
Mark Madsen	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	13	-16	16.0	15.8	0.13	16.8	19.0	-2.22
Gary Trent	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	14	-18	17.3	15.7	1.64	18.5	18.4	0.13
Oliver Miller	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	19	-28	17.0	15.7	1.26	16.1	18.6	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	94.2%
POR 101, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
LAL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%