NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	6.3 [567]		MVP	Raja Bell (CHA): +12.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	2.9 [490]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): -9.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	17	59%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	28	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	16	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.02	10	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	76%	0.11	4	-0.10	9	78%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	13	52%	0.08	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.2	15.8	28.5	2.7	32.0	132.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +74.3%

CHA +6.5%

LAL -8.6%

LAL -21.0%

LAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.5	95.5	102.2	106.4
season	14.9	16.5		110.6	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		104.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	18.9	16.1	15.1	15.9
CHA	14.2	16.3	17.3	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-15	20	15.2	16.0	-0.87	14.6	16.3	-1.72
DJ Mbenga	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	13.7	16.0	-2.27	19.5	15.9	3.58
Lamar Odom	66	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-9	8	15.6	16.9	-1.32	16.9	13.2	3.68
Trevor Ariza	51	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.4	16.7	-1.35	15.3	17.1	-1.77
Sasha Vujacic	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	16.7	15.7	1.02	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Derek Fisher	61	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	15.4	17.1	-1.72	16.3	15.7	0.61
Jordan Farmar	17	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	17.2	15.6	1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Kobe Bryant	67	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.5	17.1	-1.61	16.5	14.6	1.95
Luke Walton	39	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-8	6	16.5	15.4	1.06	17.0	15.3	1.67
Josh Powell	19	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	2	-14	17.8	15.4	2.45	12.3	17.1	-4.81
Pau Gasol	82	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	16.3	11.2	5.10	16.1	16.0	0.08

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	84	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	15.9	17.7	-1.83	16.3	13.2	3.07
Emeka Okafor	70	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-6	22	15.7	17.4	-1.69	15.6	17.1	-1.54
Boris Diaw	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	16.4	14.2	2.24	15.2	20.2	-4.97
Gerald Wallace	79	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	3	4	15.7	18.1	-2.33	16.1	15.0	1.11
D.J. Augustin	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	13	-16	16.3	15.9	0.37	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	26	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	16.5	15.9	0.64	18.3	14.9	3.33
Raja Bell	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	4	2	16.2	15.9	0.26	15.6	16.7	-1.18
Cartier Martin	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	9.0	16.2	-7.23	6.0	16.2	-10.15
DeSagana Diop	22	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	16	-22	17.4	15.7	1.69	17.1	15.6	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.89,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.5%
DAL 92, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%