NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	5.9 [626]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +20.0%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	2.4 [785]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -15.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tierre Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	20	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	18	51%	0.04	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Eddie Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.10
Cuttino Mobley	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	18	40%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.05	0.02	11	87%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	15	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	85%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	14	36%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	23.2	15.3	24.9	1.8	21.6	109.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +25.8%

NJN +15.0%

HOU -9.0%

NJN +18.9%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	18.9	13.8	15.6	102.3	112.5	102.3
season	16.8	14.7		100.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.2		98.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	20.2	17.7	19.0	18.6	18.9
NJN	13.1	13.0	12.3	17.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-8	7	16.2	19.4	-3.21	13.4	13.9	-0.58
Oscar Torres	30	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-14	19	18.6	19.1	-0.49	14.5	13.5	0.99
Kelvin Cato	42	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	19.0	18.8	0.17	12.8	14.7	-1.94
Terence Morris	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	18.7	19.1	-0.43	14.7	12.5	2.20
Eddie Griffin	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	0	-9	18.9	19.0	-0.14	13.0	16.7	-3.69
Moochie Norris	75	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	19.4	16.2	3.21	13.9	13.4	0.58
Cuttino Mobley	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	19.2	15.1	4.07	14.1	11.6	2.44
Kenny Thomas	78	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.21	-18	9	-27	18.8	19.8	-1.03	14.0	12.5	1.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-4	17	13.9	13.0	0.95	19.2	15.9	3.34
Jason Collins	36	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-1	11	15.0	13.1	1.91	18.7	19.0	-0.23
Richard Jefferson	47	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-1	11	15.3	12.2	3.08	18.7	19.1	-0.44
Lucious Harris	46	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	1	7	15.3	12.2	3.11	18.6	19.2	-0.63
Keith Van Horn	55	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	7	-5	12.9	15.3	-2.39	19.0	18.8	0.20
Jason Kidd	67	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	8	-7	13.3	15.5	-2.21	19.0	18.7	0.27
Aaron Williams	25	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.11	9	0	9	13.9	13.8	0.05	18.4	19.1	-0.62
Kenyon Martin	54	55	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	7	-5	12.8	15.4	-2.61	18.9	18.8	0.11
Todd MacCulloch	32	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	19	-29	12.4	14.7	-2.30	18.9	18.9	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.86,0.99,1	93.4%
GSW 98, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.2%
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%