NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	6.4 [321]		MVP	Doug West (VAN): +20.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	93		Comeback	2.6 [73]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -32.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	4	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	11	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	13	59%	-0.09	2	-0.04	18	67%	-0.10
Kobe Bryant	-0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.28	-0.09	-0.04	21	24%	-0.18	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	10	67%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	18	51%	-0.01	5	-0.16	19	84%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	35.1	15.7	25.1	2.4	40.4	150.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +40.1%

VAN +13.0%

VAN +5.7%

LAL -3.9%

LAL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	VAN	NBA	LAL	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.8	87.4	96.9	99.6
season	14.9	16.4		104.7	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.8		105.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	14.1	15.5	15.4	14.9
VAN	13.0	16.5	16.5	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-7	4	14.3	15.0	-0.78	15.5	15.2	0.36
Travis Knight	37	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-10	10	14.0	15.5	-1.56	16.6	14.2	2.39
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-17	24	15.0	14.7	0.29	15.7	12.9	2.85
Derek Harper	61	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	13.5	17.5	-4.05	15.9	14.0	1.92
Sean Rooks	20	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	17.0	14.4	2.69	13.1	15.7	-2.61
Kobe Bryant	70	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	13.1	20.0	-6.94	15.3	14.9	0.42
Eddie Jones	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	15.0	14.5	0.47	15.9	11.9	4.07
Derek Fisher	39	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	16.9	13.5	3.39	13.0	16.5	-3.52
Rick Fox	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	17.4	13.2	4.26	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Elden Campbell	35	37	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	7	-24	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.5	15.7	-1.21

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	48	47	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-6	22	15.0	15.4	-0.42	18.4	11.5	6.88
Doug West	62	62	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.18	18	-8	26	14.8	16.0	-1.15	15.7	13.4	2.35
Tony Massenburg	58	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-3	16	14.5	16.4	-1.89	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Mike Bibby	82	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	1	8	15.7	12.4	3.28	13.8	21.0	-7.21
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	5	0	14.9	17.7	-2.82	13.6	24.0	-10.39
Bryant Reeves	42	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	16.4	14.4	2.01	15.0	14.9	0.09
DeJuan Wheat	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	9	-8	12.4	15.7	-3.28	21.0	13.8	7.21
Felipe Lopez	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	9	-8	3.7	15.6	-11.94	6.2	15.3	-9.06
Sam Mack	45	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.4	14.2	2.20	16.2	13.8	2.46
Michael Smith	41	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	21	-32	16.2	14.5	1.73	12.4	16.7	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.4%
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
MIN 95, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	93.0%