NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.5 [537]		MVP	Boban Marjanovic (SAS): +20.3%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	2.4 [975]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	14	45%	0.03	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	0.01	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.04
Andrew Wiggins	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	18	41%	-0.05	3	-0.11	8	25%	-0.10

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	7	94%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	-0.06	11	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	12	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	29.2	15.4	27.4	2.4	39.5	140.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.9%

SAS +12.6%

MIN -3.5%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	14.9	99.0	104.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		104.8	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		97.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.9	16.0	12.1	14.5
SAS	13.6	17.6	16.0	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	30	29	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-16	26	15.5	14.0	1.53	16.8	14.7	2.09
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-14	22	14.0	15.4	-1.44	16.3	13.6	2.64
Tayshaun Prince	60	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-8	10	14.6	14.3	0.28	15.4	15.3	0.09
Shabazz Muhammad	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-4	2	13.8	14.7	-0.86	16.9	14.9	2.00
Nemanja Bjelica	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	14.3	14.5	-0.20	13.7	15.6	-1.85
Ricky Rubio	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-8	10	14.3	15.1	-0.85	15.2	16.0	-0.89
Tyus Jones	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	2	-10	15.1	14.3	0.85	16.0	15.2	0.89
Andrew Wiggins	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Adreian Payne	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	3	-12	15.5	14.1	1.39	14.1	15.9	-1.71
Gorgui Dieng	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	11	-28	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Zach LaVine	51	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	3	-12	13.3	15.8	-2.49	15.1	15.7	-0.61

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	39	39	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.01	23	-17	40	13.6	16.5	-2.92	15.4	13.8	1.61
Manu Ginobili	52	52	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.18	16	-10	26	13.2	17.9	-4.72	14.6	14.3	0.30
Boris Diaw	53	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-9	24	15.5	15.2	0.29	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Boban Marjanovic	29	29	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-10	26	13.9	16.0	-2.04	15.4	14.1	1.29
Kawhi Leonard	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	4	-2	14.8	17.3	-2.51	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Kyle Anderson	19	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	2	2	16.6	15.1	1.58	14.2	14.5	-0.29
David West	50	50	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	13	-20	17.4	13.2	4.25	15.0	13.9	1.09
Jonathon Simmons	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	18.2	15.2	2.99	14.8	14.5	0.34
Tony Parker	62	61	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.37	-17	23	-40	16.6	13.2	3.38	13.8	15.7	-1.94
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	56	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	14	-22	14.9	16.0	-1.06	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Danny Green	42	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	20	-34	16.8	14.2	2.60	14.2	14.7	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.86,0.99,1	93.0%
NOP 83, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.5%
DEN 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	92.5%