NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	83		Excitement	6.0 [628]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +16.7%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	2.2 [459]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): -22.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.06	0.07	34	51%	0.00	2	-0.06	9	44%	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	17	45%	0.01	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Hollis Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.06	0.03	9	46%	-0.03	7	-0.19	8	50%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	0.00	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.04	0.05	12	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	15	58%	0.17	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	0.03	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.3	15.0	25.2	2.5	32.5	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.1%

DAL +6.6%

NOP -9.7%

DAL +2.9%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	14.8	85.6	98.0	107.7
season	14.1	16.2		104.1	104.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		107.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	14.1	14.3	13.2	13.8
DAL	14.3	15.2	17.0	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	51	51	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-22	31	13.7	13.8	-0.14	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Anthony Davis	77	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-11	9	13.6	14.2	-0.63	16.1	14.6	1.48
Solomon Hill	71	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-11	9	13.6	14.2	-0.55	16.4	14.0	2.33
Dante Cunningham	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-1	-11	14.2	13.5	0.79	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Jrue Holiday	77	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-11	9	13.8	13.4	0.38	16.2	14.0	2.20
Jarrett Jack	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-6	-1	12.7	14.8	-2.09	16.7	14.7	2.02
Reggie Williams	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	4	-21	14.8	13.2	1.60	14.3	16.5	-2.22
Tim Frazier	23	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	4	-21	13.8	13.7	0.10	12.5	16.8	-4.31
DeMarcus Cousins	66	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	2	-17	14.0	13.3	0.63	16.1	15.2	0.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	50	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-9	31	15.7	15.8	-0.07	14.0	13.5	0.58
Devin Harris	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	1	11	15.1	16.3	-1.24	14.8	12.9	1.95
Nerlens Noel	63	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	4	5	15.2	16.9	-1.73	12.9	15.2	-2.29
Yogi Ferrell	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	5	3	16.0	15.4	0.66	13.9	13.5	0.37
Seth Curry	77	77	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	9	-5	15.9	15.2	0.74	13.2	15.9	-2.71
Dirk Nowitzki	60	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	5	3	15.2	16.6	-1.36	13.9	13.5	0.49
Harrison Barnes	68	67	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	13	-13	16.2	14.7	1.55	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Salah Mejri	8	10	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	8	-3	19.0	15.5	3.51	17.9	13.3	4.62
Wesley Matthews	60	60	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.10	-3	16	-19	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.4	14.3	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
GSW 81, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.2%
GSW 95, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%