NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.4 [539]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +18.2%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	2.1 [986]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -17.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	12	70%	0.13	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Dorell Wright	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	17	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Lou Amundson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	16	47%	0.07	7	-0.16	2	0%	-0.00
David Lee	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	15	41%	-0.07	4	-0.10	14	86%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.02	16	70%	0.28	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	14	69%	0.18	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	14	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	23.5	15.5	27.4	2.3	37.6	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.8%

UTA +19.2%

GSW -17.5%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.5	100.0	112.5	105.7
season	14.8	15.9		106.6	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	17.9	15.8	13.1	15.2
UTA	14.1	18.1	14.8	13.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	53	53	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-17	21	16.0	14.2	1.72	15.0	14.9	0.14
Ekpe Udoh	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	8.5	15.3	-6.84	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Jeremy Lin	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	9.7	15.4	-5.71	13.0	15.0	-2.04
Charlie Bell	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-12	11	18.7	14.8	3.83	19.6	14.5	5.09
Lou Amundson	17	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-10	7	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Monta Ellis	79	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.0	16.3	-1.34	15.1	14.0	1.14
Dorell Wright	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-7	1	15.2	15.1	0.14	15.1	14.6	0.44
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-6	-1	15.0	15.3	-0.36	15.5	14.7	0.83
David Lee	80	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.8	17.3	-2.53	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Reggie Williams	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	14.9	16.6	-1.74	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Dan Gadzuric	19	18	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	0	-13	16.3	14.9	1.39	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Acie Law	29	31	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	4	-21	15.9	14.9	0.95	14.9	15.0	-0.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-7	27	14.4	17.0	-2.64	15.7	13.4	2.22
Kyrylo Fesenko	29	28	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-5	23	13.7	15.5	-1.82	16.2	14.8	1.49
CJ Miles	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	16.0	13.7	2.24	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Earl Watson	37	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	9	-5	15.7	14.5	1.26	16.5	14.4	2.05
Ronnie Price	41	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	11	-9	14.5	15.3	-0.86	15.3	15.1	0.18
Jeremy Evans	19	17	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	7	-1	16.7	14.5	2.22	15.2	15.2	0.04
Deron Williams	69	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	10	-7	14.8	15.3	-0.42	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Gordon Hayward	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	13.0	15.6	-2.56	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Paul Millsap	65	66	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	13	-13	15.0	14.9	0.03	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Al Jefferson	67	67	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	18	-23	15.5	13.7	1.82	14.8	16.2	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.1%
MIN 94, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ORL 110, SAS 128	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%