NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	5.3 [748]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +11.3%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.9 [827]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -13.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	14	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Love	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	15	45%	-0.00	5	-0.12	12	50%	-0.08

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	10	85%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	3	62%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.08	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.06	0.03	15	50%	-0.04	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.0	29.2	15.3	23.9	0.8	34.2	126.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.5%

BOS +11.7%

MIN -1.0%

MIN -0.6%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	15.4	94.9	104.0	104.1
season	15.6	14.9		101.3	101.2
opponent	16.2	14.9		101.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	15.4	17.8	14.6	15.8
BOS	12.6	11.8	14.3	14.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	13.3	15.9	-2.60	16.7	13.0	3.71
Derrick Williams	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-14	18	15.7	15.8	-0.10	14.9	12.7	2.15
Jose Juan Barea	48	49	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	15.2	16.4	-1.19	13.2	13.2	0.05
Alexey Shved	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-8	6	14.9	16.9	-2.00	13.3	13.0	0.27
Greg Stiemsma	16	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	0	-10	17.6	15.4	2.13	17.7	12.4	5.36
Dante Cunningham	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-1	-8	16.5	15.4	1.09	13.9	12.7	1.19
Malcolm Lee	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-9	8	16.5	15.1	1.36	13.5	12.9	0.58
Luke Ridnour	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.6	0.35	12.7	13.7	-0.95
Nikola Pekovic	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.6	0.26	11.9	16.1	-4.17
Kevin Love	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.35	12.2	16.1	-3.87
Josh Howard	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	15.8	15.8	-0.04	13.3	12.9	0.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	75	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-14	38	13.3	12.8	0.45	17.0	11.3	5.64
Jeff Green	43	42	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	8	-6	15.7	11.3	4.46	16.0	15.6	0.30
Jared Sullinger	39	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	4	2	12.8	13.4	-0.63	15.8	15.7	0.10
Kevin Garnett	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-4	18	12.5	14.1	-1.59	16.6	14.7	1.95
Brandon Bass	61	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	6	-2	13.4	12.8	0.63	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Courtney Lee	44	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	10	-10	13.7	12.8	0.86	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Chris Wilcox	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	10	-10	14.2	12.4	1.80	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Paul Pierce	57	57	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	2	6	11.3	15.7	-4.46	15.6	16.0	-0.30
Rajon Rondo	81	80	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.25	-4	14	-18	12.8	14.7	-1.92	15.1	18.4	-3.27
Kris Joseph	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	11.7	13.2	-1.56	14.0	15.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 101, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%
CLE 105, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%