inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement6.5 [462] MVPKendall Gill (NJN): +17.6%
New Jersey Nets 114 Comeback2.5 [508] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -27.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scot Pollard0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.00685%0.111-0.041100%0.01
Joe Dumars0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.000.03779%0.0600.0000%0.00
Steve Henson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.02383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Malik Sealy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01556%-0.021-0.00650%-0.04
Don Reid-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00540%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Bison Dele-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01333%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Charles O'Bannon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.001061%0.013-0.101377%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.06-0.021058%0.025-0.12450%-0.07
Grant Hill-0.270,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.19-0.10-0.021455%0.0210-0.291070%-0.02

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.070.021282%0.222-0.059100%0.06
Keith Van Horn0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.040.012057%0.123-0.074100%0.06
Rony Seikaly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
David Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sherman Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.021264%0.136-0.15450%-0.04
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.010.042050%-0.021-0.004100%0.03
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01217%-0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.060.011350%-0.082-0.051080%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.331.615.526.52.630.2134.0
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -12.9%
NJN +24.2%
NJN +8.4%
NJN +31.6%
DET -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNJNNBADETNJNNBA
this game14.315.115.6103.1116.3102.5
season15.915.6102.8104.9
opponent15.215.9103.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.712.314.812.814.3
NJN15.014.412.918.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bison Dele25250.10-0.600.71-0.014-172115.413.91.4115.714.90.86
Malik Sealy17180.09-0.590.670.090-131312.114.8-2.7216.514.81.74
Joe Dumars22220.02-0.520.53-0.011-141517.713.34.4115.015.1-0.11
Jerry Stackhouse6163-0.08-0.420.33-0.204-172113.815.2-1.4615.214.90.35
Steve Henson1111-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-8312.914.5-1.5712.115.5-3.37
Jerome Williams5150-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-11913.215.6-2.4015.714.41.30
Lindsey Hunter6968-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-6-114.414.20.1915.713.62.18
Don Reid5962-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-163-1915.113.21.9115.813.91.89
Scot Pollard6159-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.13-12-1-1114.114.6-0.5513.517.4-3.87
Charles O'Bannon3231-0.530.03-0.550.03-196-2513.414.7-1.2913.915.6-1.72
Grant Hill8281-0.540.04-0.59-0.16-130-1314.712.12.6815.015.5-0.54

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Gatling71720.57-0.070.640.0119-62515.015.2-0.1915.012.42.62
Kerry Kittles96960.57-0.070.630.0717-42115.116.5-1.4514.57.07.46
Keith Van Horn88870.52-0.020.540.0217-42115.312.82.5414.99.94.95
Kendall Gill69700.380.120.270.031211115.813.42.3215.212.13.13
Sherman Douglas96960.380.120.260.09103715.34.510.8014.312.51.84
Brian Evans870.100.40-0.290.05211-912.215.3-3.0810.614.6-4.02
Lucious Harris25250.060.44-0.370.12-215-1713.415.7-2.3112.115.1-2.93
David Vaughn1615-0.010.51-0.520.05-215-1715.215.00.2012.714.6-1.86
Don MacLean911-0.040.54-0.580.08-417-2114.015.2-1.1910.014.9-4.85
Rony Seikaly1211-0.040.55-0.590.07-417-2114.115.2-1.1411.814.6-2.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 81, CLE 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,194.1%
NOH 93, OKC 1040.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.0%
MIL 95, CHI 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,194.0%