NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	5.4 [752]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +48.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	2.4 [788]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Andersen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	81%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Gray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	19	45%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.36	0.13	0.01	19	88%	0.52	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.03
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	14	43%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.01	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	27.8	15.0	29.2	2.7	29.0	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +56.3%

OKC +4.9%

NOH -2.4%

NOH -10.9%

OKC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	17.0	15.3	15.5	104.5	116.9	105.7
season	16.2	15.0		104.6	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.4	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.5	15.7	17.6	17.4	17.0
OKC	13.2	16.4	13.0	19.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Andersen	25	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-15	19	15.2	17.7	-2.53	16.4	14.9	1.48
Willie Green	41	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-11	11	17.0	17.0	0.05	17.0	14.1	2.95
Aaron Gray	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-16	21	16.8	17.1	-0.34	18.3	13.9	4.41
Trevor Ariza	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-8	5	17.2	16.8	0.41	13.8	16.7	-2.98
Marcus Thornton	18	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-13	15	17.7	16.9	0.81	14.3	15.6	-1.30
DJ Mbenga	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-5	-1	19.9	16.6	3.29	10.7	16.0	-5.26
Jarrett Jack	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-4	-3	18.7	16.5	2.15	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Marco Belinelli	36	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	16.6	17.3	-0.69	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Jason Smith	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	1	-13	17.0	17.1	-0.09	14.7	16.1	-1.42
David West	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	2	-15	17.4	16.0	1.36	14.8	16.7	-1.82
Quincy Pondexter	48	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	16.8	17.2	-0.41	16.7	13.8	2.98
Chris Paul	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	16.5	18.2	-1.72	14.9	16.3	-1.38

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-4	19	14.6	20.6	-6.05	17.0	16.9	0.12
Eric Maynor	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	15.5	15.2	0.26	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Serge Ibaka	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	15.9	14.1	1.82	17.4	16.3	1.14
Nick Collison	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	16.8	13.9	2.87	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Daequan Cook	32	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.04	17.1	17.0	0.11
Nenad Krstic	27	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	4	3	14.1	15.9	-1.71	17.0	17.0	0.02
Jeff Green	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	15.9	12.9	3.00	16.9	17.5	-0.63
Russell Westbrook	48	49	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	10	-9	15.3	15.3	-0.01	17.2	16.8	0.36
James Harden	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	8	-5	14.0	16.6	-2.59	16.9	17.2	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.0%
DEN 92, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 86, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%