NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	86		Excitement	5.6 [713]		MVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): +15.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	2.2 [419]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -34.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.06	0.03	10	84%	0.22	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.05	18	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.32,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.26	-0.13	-0.03	23	40%	-0.09	10	-0.26	7	86%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.04	17	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	22	42%	0.02	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	10	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	26.5	14.7	23.5	1.7	30.5	123.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +55.5%

MIN +0.3%

OKC -15.0%

MIN +10.5%

OKC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	14.8	90.5	101.1	107.7
season	14.0	15.3		107.0	109.3
opponent	14.7	15.1		110.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.9	14.1	14.5	13.1	13.9
MIN	13.8	15.2	15.5	22.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-10	10	20.4	13.2	7.21	17.1	16.3	0.82
Domantas Sabonis	44	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-12	14	12.4	15.3	-2.87	16.5	16.3	0.25
Alex Abrines	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	15.7	13.8	1.97	13.3	16.7	-3.35
Cameron Payne	29	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	16.9	12.6	4.29	18.1	15.7	2.49
Joffrey Lauvergne	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	18.9	12.8	6.17	15.6	16.5	-0.93
Jerami Grant	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-9	8	15.3	13.0	2.28	16.8	16.1	0.77
Andre Roberson	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	12.8	16.4	-3.60	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Enes Kanter	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	15.2	12.2	3.00	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	12.6	17.1	-4.54	17.5	13.7	3.86
Russell Westbrook	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	0	-10	12.8	17.9	-5.08	15.7	19.0	-3.40
Steven Adams	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	2	-14	13.0	16.1	-3.05	15.9	17.5	-1.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	64	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	17.1	14.9	2.22	14.0	13.8	0.17
Ricky Rubio	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	16.1	17.4	-1.32	12.6	19.0	-6.40
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	16.1	17.4	-1.32	12.7	18.8	-6.05
Brandon Rush	78	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	17.4	11.7	5.68	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Shabazz Muhammad	41	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	4	2	16.3	16.4	-0.05	15.9	12.4	3.47
Andrew Wiggins	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	15.9	18.4	-2.57	12.9	18.0	-5.20
Nemanja Bjelica	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	6	-2	16.5	16.3	0.21	16.8	12.9	3.99
Kris Dunn	19	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	11	-12	17.4	16.1	1.32	19.0	12.6	6.40
Cole Aldrich	20	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	13	-16	12.9	17.3	-4.39	16.0	13.5	2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, MIN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 72, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 86, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%