NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	72		Excitement	5.2 [792]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): +16.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.5 [941]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -17.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Schenscher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	22	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04
Tyson Chandler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	3	21%	-0.09	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.08
Kirk Hinrich	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	11	56%	0.00	7	-0.18	5	20%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.08	0.06	28	60%	0.23	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.5	32.2	17.8	27.2	3.7	29.3	140.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +22.6%

CLE +19.7%

CLE +6.1%

CLE +0.9%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	18.9	15.6	82.8	102.2	104.4
season	14.4	16.2		102.6	105.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.1	14.5	14.6	13.0	13.8
CLE	21.2	17.4	18.1	18.9	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	58	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.19	-8	-11	3	13.4	14.7	-1.36	18.1	20.2	-2.11
Othella Harrington	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-17	15	13.8	13.8	0.00	22.2	18.4	3.80
Andres Nocioni	26	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-12	5	14.2	13.6	0.59	17.2	19.6	-2.44
Ben Gordon	75	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-6	-7	13.3	16.8	-3.50	20.0	13.3	6.64
Darius Songaila	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-16	13	14.6	13.1	1.46	19.7	18.1	1.54
Luke Schenscher	22	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-12	5	14.6	13.6	1.04	17.7	19.3	-1.57
Chris Duhon	43	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-8	-3	13.4	14.2	-0.83	18.6	19.1	-0.51
Kirk Hinrich	82	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	-3	-13	13.9	12.2	1.71	18.3	30.0	-11.67
Luol Deng	76	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.14	-28	9	-37	14.0	12.6	1.35	19.1	17.2	1.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	42	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-1	21	18.5	19.1	-0.63	14.1	13.6	0.47
LeBron James	85	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-4	27	18.9	17.0	1.94	13.9	10.7	3.26
Ronald Murray	81	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	2	15	18.7	20.7	-2.08	14.0	12.4	1.53
Donyell Marshall	30	30	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	6	7	17.9	19.4	-1.49	14.2	13.6	0.59
Damon Jones	35	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	10	-1	17.1	20.0	-2.82	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Eric Snow	66	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.21	8	11	-3	19.9	15.9	3.97	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Drew Gooden	55	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.27	9	10	-1	19.9	17.1	2.86	13.2	14.9	-1.64
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	23	-27	18.5	19.3	-0.76	14.0	13.5	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 98, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%