NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	5.8 [638]		MVP	Trajan Langdon (CLE): +43.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.6 [766]		LVP	Eric Montross (DET): -16.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	13	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mateen Cleaves	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	7	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	30	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.03
Eric Montross	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	7%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.30	0.19	0.05	13	107%	0.47	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.04	11	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	5	80%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	7	57%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	24.6	15.3	29.8	0.8	24.2	120.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +72.5%

DET -9.9%

CLE +4.8%

DET -18.6%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	16.7	15.5	102.1	125.8	100.9
season	14.3	15.3		97.9	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.3	13.1	13.9	15.3	13.9
CLE	16.8	16.3	16.8	16.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	25	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-21	23	11.5	14.7	-3.17	18.4	16.1	2.31
Michael Curry	54	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-18	17	13.5	14.4	-0.92	17.4	15.8	1.54
Jerome Williams	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-13	7	13.9	13.8	0.06	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Jud Buechler	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-15	11	13.8	14.0	-0.19	16.5	16.8	-0.27
John Wallace	17	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-11	3	15.5	13.5	2.02	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Mateen Cleaves	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-12	5	12.7	14.9	-2.18	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Ben Wallace	66	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-6	-7	13.8	14.1	-0.29	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Cedric Ceballos	26	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-11	3	14.4	13.7	0.77	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Eric Montross	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-6	-7	16.0	12.4	3.55	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Jerry Stackhouse	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.33	-22	3	-25	14.3	13.1	1.20	16.3	17.4	-1.15
Chucky Atkins	67	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-4	-11	13.7	14.2	-0.44	17.2	15.6	1.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	3	13	16.7	16.5	0.18	13.1	15.8	-2.66
Andre Miller	83	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	2	15	16.8	15.5	1.30	14.3	10.4	3.87
Lamond Murray	56	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	5	9	16.7	16.6	0.10	13.3	14.7	-1.31
Robert Traylor	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	2	15	16.5	16.8	-0.28	14.1	13.6	0.52
Cedric Henderson	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	4	11	16.4	16.8	-0.35	12.9	14.4	-1.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	39	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	10	-1	17.5	16.1	1.33	14.6	13.3	1.31
Chris Gatling	44	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	5	9	15.9	17.3	-1.46	14.5	13.3	1.26
Clar. Weatherspoon	46	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	15	-11	16.7	16.6	0.12	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Chris Mihm	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	23	-27	16.3	16.7	-0.40	7.7	14.3	-6.63
Matt Harpring	39	44	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	26	-33	16.7	16.6	0.06	15.0	12.9	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHI 72, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%