inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement5.8 [638] MVPTrajan Langdon (CLE): +43.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 117 Comeback1.6 [766] LVPEric Montross (DET): -16.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.03-0.021355%0.102-0.043100%0.01
Jud Buechler0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.02475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.020.00750%0.0300.0020%-0.03
Mateen Cleaves-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03761%0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Cedric Ceballos-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.02-0.01533%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Ben Wallace-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00750%-0.021-0.0120%-0.06
John Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Curry-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.030.03762%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Mikki Moore-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.03-0.063043%-0.072-0.051587%0.03
Eric Montross-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.0057%-0.1600.00425%-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trajan Langdon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.440.440.300.190.0513107%0.471-0.033100%0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.02862%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.021100%0.0310.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.01968%0.062-0.04475%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.080.05-0.041133%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.031457%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.04-0.010.08580%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.031154%0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Matt Harpring0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.040.03757%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.00450%-0.032-0.07450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.424.615.329.80.824.2120.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +72.5%
DET -9.9%
CLE +4.8%
DET -18.6%
CLE +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCLENBADETCLENBA
this game13.916.715.5102.1125.8100.9
season14.315.397.998.4
opponent15.615.4102.699.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.313.113.915.313.9
CLE16.816.316.816.716.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore25230.02-0.520.54-0.042-212311.514.7-3.1718.416.12.31
Michael Curry5451-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-181713.514.4-0.9217.415.81.54
Jerome Williams3130-0.21-0.290.08-0.04-6-13713.913.80.0616.316.8-0.53
Jud Buechler4746-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-4-151113.814.0-0.1916.516.8-0.27
John Wallace1718-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.02-8-11315.513.52.0216.316.7-0.47
Mateen Cleaves4445-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-7-12512.714.9-2.1816.317.0-0.71
Ben Wallace6664-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-13-6-713.814.1-0.2916.417.1-0.70
Cedric Ceballos2625-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-11314.413.70.7716.616.7-0.13
Eric Montross3937-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-13-6-716.012.43.5515.917.2-1.27
Jerry Stackhouse6463-0.32-0.18-0.130.33-223-2514.313.11.2016.317.4-1.15
Chucky Atkins6763-0.34-0.16-0.190.10-15-4-1113.714.2-0.4417.215.61.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trajan Langdon70700.450.050.40-0.021631316.716.50.1813.115.8-2.66
Andre Miller83860.440.060.38-0.061721516.815.51.3014.310.43.87
Lamond Murray56580.420.080.340.01145916.716.60.1013.314.7-1.31
Robert Traylor48480.380.120.26-0.121721516.516.8-0.2814.113.60.52
Cedric Henderson36350.350.150.19-0.091541116.416.8-0.3512.914.4-1.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas36390.270.230.030.00910-117.516.11.3314.613.31.31
Chris Gatling44450.250.250.00-0.16145915.917.3-1.4614.513.31.26
Clar. Weatherspoon46480.120.38-0.260.00415-1116.716.60.1213.813.9-0.06
Chris Mihm77-0.020.52-0.530.10-423-2716.316.7-0.407.714.3-6.63
Matt Harpring3944-0.160.66-0.820.04-726-3316.716.60.0615.012.92.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, WAS 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,194.8%
CHI 72, CLE 910.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%
DAL 78, MIN 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,194.3%