NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	78		Excitement	4.7 [899]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +15.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	1.3 [977]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -13.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Marquis Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	53%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	19	52%	0.09	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Keith Van Horn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	9	24%	-0.08	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	14	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.05	0.04	11	72%	0.16	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	14	62%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	19	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	28.1	15.7	27.4	2.6	30.3	129.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.4%

MIN +2.6%

DAL -4.3%

MIN +18.1%

MIN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	19.0	16.2	15.6	96.3	109.6	104.4
season	16.4	16.1		109.0	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	21.4	19.2	20.8	14.8	19.0
MIN	16.5	16.0	12.9	19.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	11.0	19.2	-8.20	12.5	16.2	-3.75
Devin Harris	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-19	25	21.8	18.3	3.50	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Erick Dampier	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-9	5	19.7	18.1	1.59	18.0	14.0	4.02
DeSagana Diop	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	22.3	17.9	4.38	13.7	17.0	-3.33
Keith Van Horn	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-7	1	17.8	19.8	-2.05	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Jerry Stackhouse	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-1	-11	19.4	18.7	0.75	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Marquis Daniels	63	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	19.1	18.5	0.64	16.1	16.5	-0.44
Dirk Nowitzki	64	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	18.6	20.6	-2.01	16.1	16.5	-0.47
Jason Terry	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	17.5	23.5	-5.98	16.8	14.2	2.51
Josh Howard	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	1	-15	19.1	18.8	0.30	16.7	14.4	2.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	16.2	15.8	0.41	19.3	17.8	1.57
Marko Jaric	73	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-4	21	16.3	15.3	0.97	18.6	21.7	-3.08
Kevin Garnett	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-5	23	15.9	17.2	-1.36	18.4	21.2	-2.80
Wally Szczerbiak	75	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	2	9	15.8	19.7	-3.98	19.7	12.6	7.07
Eddie Griffin	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	7	-1	15.1	16.9	-1.80	21.4	17.1	4.25
Michael Olowokandi	37	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	9	-5	17.2	15.3	1.96	18.2	19.6	-1.37
Troy Hudson	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	10	-7	17.4	15.1	2.38	18.0	19.9	-1.83
Rashad McCants	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	11	-9	15.0	16.3	-1.32	23.7	18.3	5.36
Ronald Dupree	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	12.5	16.2	-3.75	11.0	19.2	-8.20
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	12.5	16.2	-3.75	11.0	19.2	-8.20
Anthony Carter	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	7.0	16.4	-9.38	8.5	19.3	-10.77
Richie Frahm	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	18	-23	18.6	15.8	2.78	16.2	19.3	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 87, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%