NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	5.7 [651]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +15.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.3 [865]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): -16.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	14	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.04
Michael Cage	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rex Walters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	52%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	63%	0.03	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	15	51%	0.01	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	5	100%	0.15	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	8	72%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.01
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.04
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	14	53%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	26%	-0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	29.3	15.8	29.1	1.7	30.2	135.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.6%

LAL +1.3%

PHI -0.6%

LAL +29.3%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.6	101.0	113.9	104.4
season	14.7	15.3		101.4	105.8
opponent	15.7	14.7		101.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	14.7	14.3	13.6	14.5
LAL	13.9	14.1	13.9	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-13	13	11.6	15.0	-3.41	13.1	14.2	-1.12
Doug Overton	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-14	15	14.7	14.5	0.21	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Mark Hendrickson	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	10.7	14.6	-3.90	6.2	14.3	-8.09
Mark Davis	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-11	9	12.9	15.4	-2.45	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Jerry Stackhouse	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-9	5	14.6	14.2	0.45	14.3	13.2	1.16
Rex Walters	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.0	14.3	0.67	12.7	14.5	-1.82
Scott Williams	50	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	14.7	14.3	0.49	15.8	12.3	3.53
Michael Cage	35	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	15.5	14.0	1.47	12.0	15.2	-3.19
Clar. Weatherspoon	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-1	-11	15.1	12.6	2.57	14.9	11.2	3.63
Derrick Coleman	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	-1	-11	14.5	14.5	-0.01	14.2	12.9	1.29
Allen Iverson	83	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	1	-15	14.5	14.7	-0.21	14.2	13.4	0.80

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-3	19	13.7	15.0	-1.30	14.0	16.0	-1.92
Travis Knight	54	52	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	2	9	13.9	14.1	-0.20	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Shaquille O'Neal	56	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	6	1	14.8	13.0	1.76	14.6	14.3	0.25
Eddie Jones	75	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	9	-5	14.9	11.6	3.24	14.8	13.7	1.03
Derek Fisher	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	4	5	12.6	14.8	-2.22	13.7	14.9	-1.24
Nick Van Exel	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	9	-5	14.8	12.6	2.22	14.9	13.7	1.24
Byron Scott	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	9	-5	13.1	14.6	-1.55	15.6	13.9	1.74
Elden Campbell	68	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	13	-13	14.6	12.9	1.69	14.6	14.3	0.22
Kobe Bryant	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	11	-9	13.9	14.0	-0.11	12.6	14.8	-2.15
Sean Rooks	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	9	-5	12.6	14.2	-1.60	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Corie Blount	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	9	-5	8.3	14.6	-6.35	15.1	14.4	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DAL 93, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%