NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	5.0 [806]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +26.5%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	1.5 [772]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -14.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.05	21	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Devean George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	-0.00	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	29%	-0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.11	0.02	20	66%	0.29	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	77%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	45%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.10	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	14	49%	0.04	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	29.5	16.3	26.5	2.4	33.7	137.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.5%

NOH +8.9%

NOH +2.0%

DAL -1.8%

NOH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	100.0	111.8	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		108.9	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	15.9	16.5	14.0	15.0
NOH	14.2	16.1	16.3	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-16	21	12.8	16.0	-3.15	17.5	15.2	2.29
Juwan Howard	10	11	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-15	19	13.1	15.3	-2.15	12.0	16.5	-4.48
Malik Allen	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	9.7	15.4	-5.72	12.0	16.2	-4.22
Antoine Wright	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	9.7	15.4	-5.72	12.0	16.2	-4.22
Jose Juan Barea	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-10	9	12.6	15.3	-2.73	13.3	16.2	-2.89
Devean George	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-3	-5	15.1	14.9	0.26	15.6	16.4	-0.71
Jason Terry	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.3	1.35	16.5	15.3	1.18
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	15.5	13.2	2.30	16.7	13.3	3.38
Erick Dampier	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-6	1	15.4	14.2	1.21	16.3	15.3	0.98
Brandon Bass	28	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	1	-13	15.7	14.7	0.99	16.0	15.9	0.13
Jason Kidd	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	3	-17	15.1	14.7	0.48	16.3	14.9	1.37
Josh Howard	71	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	4	-19	15.6	13.2	2.35	15.3	17.8	-2.48

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	78	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.01	20	-9	29	15.6	17.9	-2.29	15.1	14.6	0.45
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	-5	21	15.2	18.6	-3.38	14.8	16.0	-1.23
Hilton Armstrong	30	29	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	15.5	16.1	-0.61	16.4	14.4	1.97
David West	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	-3	17	16.5	14.7	1.81	15.4	14.1	1.23
Bobby Jackson	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-1	13	16.7	15.0	1.73	15.5	14.5	1.04
Ryan Bowen	27	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	8	-5	17.3	15.4	1.85	15.9	14.7	1.20
Tyson Chandler	67	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	10	-9	16.1	15.6	0.46	14.4	16.7	-2.32
Morris Peterson	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	16.5	15.7	0.77	15.1	15.0	0.08
Julian Wright	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	11.7	16.1	-4.38	10.5	15.2	-4.72
Jannero Pargo	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	17	-23	15.6	16.1	-0.45	14.6	15.2	-0.66
Rasual Butler	17	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	21	-31	15.1	16.1	-1.01	13.5	15.3	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 81, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 102, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 84, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%