NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	5.7 [672]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +19.2%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	2.9 [687]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -14.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.02	15	56%	0.12	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	46%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.03	0.08	16	62%	0.03	5	-0.11	7	43%	-0.08
Jason Kapono	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.06	-0.03	10	68%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	64%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	7	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	27.7	16.4	25.2	2.0	37.2	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.5%

CHI +9.2%

CHI +9.7%

PHI -6.6%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.3	90.7	95.9	106.0
season	15.1	14.7		104.2	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.3	17.0	11.1	14.5
CHI	15.6	16.7	13.0	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	69	70	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.27	15	-21	36	14.4	14.8	-0.42	16.1	12.5	3.52
Samuel Dalembert	67	68	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-19	32	14.1	15.3	-1.23	15.7	13.6	2.04
Elton Brand	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.8	12.4	3.48	15.7	14.1	1.62
Rodney Carney	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-10	14	11.2	15.4	-4.20	15.2	15.0	0.17
Willie Green	21	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	7	-20	16.3	14.0	2.36	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Jason Kapono	21	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	1	-8	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Jrue Holiday	14	14	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	3	-12	12.9	14.7	-1.82	11.4	15.7	-4.23
Andre Iguodala	90	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.4	15.7	-1.33	15.2	13.3	1.83
Thaddeus Young	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	14.5	13.7	0.87	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Marreese Speights	32	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	14	-34	15.3	14.1	1.28	13.4	15.9	-2.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	56	55	0.79	-0.29	1.07	-0.09	30	-24	54	14.9	15.2	-0.33	16.0	12.5	3.46
Kirk Hinrich	64	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	14.3	16.4	-2.13	13.9	15.6	-1.65
John Salmons	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	15.1	15.0	0.06	14.2	16.0	-1.75
Luol Deng	90	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	15.1	14.6	0.46	14.2	17.2	-3.01
Derrick Rose	76	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	12	-18	15.6	13.0	2.64	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Joakim Noah	78	76	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.4	0.82	14.4	15.0	-0.60
James Johnson	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	14.6	15.1	-0.46	17.2	14.2	3.01
Taj Gibson	34	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	16	-26	14.9	15.1	-0.17	15.0	14.2	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.0%
MEM 92, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SEA 93, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.84,1	93.7%