NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	5.3 [807]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +16.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	2.9 [688]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -15.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.04	-0.05	19	53%	0.22	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	8	88%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ivan Rabb	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	0.08	13	45%	-0.10	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	18	65%	0.24	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.03	7	75%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	16	32%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.5	25.6	15.2	26.6	1.8	26.0	125.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.6%

POR +11.8%

POR +29.9%

MEM -12.7%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	14.3	101.1	108.8	109.3
season	15.4	14.9		105.4	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.2		109.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	17.1	16.2	16.2	16.1
POR	12.8	15.6	17.3	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	55	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-20	33	15.9	16.4	-0.51	16.4	14.4	1.95
Garrett Temple	55	55	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-11	15	16.6	15.2	1.33	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Ivan Rabb	17	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	18.6	15.5	3.12	15.8	15.5	0.30
Mike Conley	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-13	19	16.1	15.8	0.37	16.0	14.1	1.95
Jevon Carter	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	13.6	16.9	-3.33	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Kyle Anderson	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-13	19	15.9	16.4	-0.52	16.5	13.2	3.24
Marc Gasol	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	15.3	18.8	-3.58	15.5	16.0	-0.59
Wayne Selden	18	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	5	-17	14.7	16.4	-1.73	12.9	16.3	-3.37
Shelvin Mack	43	41	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.04	-23	16	-39	17.4	14.9	2.50	14.8	16.2	-1.39
JaMychal Green	39	39	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.09	-25	18	-43	16.7	15.6	1.07	14.6	16.3	-1.67

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-9	25	15.9	15.3	0.60	16.5	15.5	1.03
Zach Collins	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-9	25	15.9	15.3	0.60	16.5	15.5	1.03
Meyers Leonard	49	50	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-7	21	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.8	15.2	1.61
Seth Curry	35	36	0.58	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-14	35	14.7	16.2	-1.52	17.3	15.2	2.12
Nik Stauskas	27	28	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.00	18	-11	29	14.9	15.9	-1.00	17.7	15.3	2.35
Damian Lillard	64	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	18	-29	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.3	17.7	-2.35
CJ McCollum	56	55	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.33	-14	21	-35	16.2	14.7	1.52	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Jusuf Nurkic	42	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	15.4	15.8	-0.39	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Maurice Harkless	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	16	-25	15.3	15.9	-0.60	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	16	-25	15.3	15.9	-0.60	15.5	16.5	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 76, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MIN 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.9%