NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	6.5 [305]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +13.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	98		Comeback	2.8 [107]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -31.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.18	-0.00	0.04	12	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jelani McCoy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	14	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
John Crotty	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	11	34%	-0.07	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Gary Payton	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31	-0.19	-0.15	-0.03	17	34%	-0.11	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	3	90%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
J.R. Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	20	57%	0.08	6	-0.12	9	89%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.7	22.0	15.5	22.2	2.0	39.2	133.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +39.0%

SEA -3.8%

SEA -1.7%

VAN +16.8%

SEA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	17.7	15.8	104.5	111.4	99.6
season	15.4	16.4		102.4	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	19.4	15.4	12.1	14.9
VAN	14.4	17.6	20.6	18.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	67	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-17	29	15.0	14.5	0.59	18.7	14.4	4.31
Olden Polynice	65	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-4	3	16.0	12.0	4.03	18.2	16.0	2.19
Vin Baker	67	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	15.4	13.4	2.04	18.9	14.1	4.84
Detlef Schrempf	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.4	16.1	-1.71	18.3	16.2	2.12
John Crotty	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	9	-23	14.1	15.3	-1.21	13.3	20.1	-6.78
Jelani McCoy	24	22	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	13	-31	16.2	14.4	1.79	10.5	20.0	-9.48
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.3	20.0	-5.75	17.9	15.7	2.22
Dale Ellis	50	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	14.2	15.8	-1.69	18.6	16.4	2.23

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	17.4	20.3	-2.98	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Michael Smith	42	45	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-5	15	16.7	18.5	-1.76	12.9	17.0	-4.07
Terry Dehere	21	23	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-9	23	14.6	18.6	-3.99	12.7	15.7	-3.03
Pete Chilcutt	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	-2	9	17.0	18.4	-1.39	15.3	14.5	0.79
DeJuan Wheat	25	27	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-4	13	14.1	19.1	-5.00	15.5	14.6	0.84
Mike Bibby	65	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	11	-17	18.6	15.0	3.54	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Cherokee Parks	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	5	-5	19.0	16.6	2.36	15.8	14.2	1.55
Felipe Lopez	72	70	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.33	-9	14	-23	18.3	14.9	3.33	15.1	14.2	0.94
Tony Massenburg	44	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	10	-15	19.2	16.1	3.09	17.2	12.7	4.52
J.R. Henderson	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	20.3	17.4	2.98	17.4	14.6	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.1%
PHI 88, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
SEA 106, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.78,0.85,1	93.3%